Oil rallies on reports of output freeze deal
• Oil prices jumped after reports that Russia and Saudi Arabia reached a deal regardless if Iran joins.
• A Kremlin press secretary said that “there is hope” a deal can be reached.
• This increases speculation for a deal on Sunday, which may keep oil prices supported until the event.

BoC to stand pat and appear optimistic
• The Bank of Canada is widely expected to remain on hold today.
• Reaction in CAD is likely to depend on the tone of the statement.
• We expect an upbeat tone, which could add to the Loonie’s recent gains.

Today:
• France: Final CPI for Mar. Usually not major market mover.
• Eurozone: Industrial production for Feb. is exp. to tumble.
• US: Retail sales for Mar. are exp. to rise, which could prove USD-positive. Also, the PPI for Mar. is exp. to accelerate. Fed releases Beige book.
• Speakers: BoC Governor Poloz holds a press conference after rate decision.

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