Fed Williams: Fed should hike this year
• San Francisco Fed Pre. John Williams (not a voting member) said that the Fed should raise rates this year.
• USD gained a bit, supported also by weak Chinese data. Focus now on US retail sales.

China’s data offer more evidence of a slowdown
• China’s industrial production, fixed asset investment and retail sales, all slowed in July.
• Signs that the economic recovery is not as strong as expected raises the likelihood for further easing by the PBoC.
• AUD&NZD gave back some of their recent gains on the news and could weaken further as EU markets open.

Today:
• Eurozone, Prel. GDP data for Q2. Forecast for a slowdown. Could raise speculation for further stimulus by the ECB. Industrial production for Jun. also coming out.
• Germany: Prel. GDP data for Q2. Also exp. to show economic slowdown. EUR-negative. Final CPI for Jul. exp. to confirm the flash estimate.
• US: Retail sales for Jul. are exp. to slow, but nevertheless still show a healthy pace.

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