Theresa May to be Britain’s next Prime Minister
• Theresa May is expected to replace Cameron as Britain’s PM by Wednesday.
• GBP surged on the news, as this dispelled a lot of political uncertainty.
• May repeated yesterday that “Brexit means Brexit”. The question now is when she will trigger Article 50 (she prev. said by year-end).
• We maintain our GBP-negative outlook and will treat this as a corrective move of the currency’s overall downtrend.
• Soft post-referendum data and policy easing by the BoE may keep GBP under selling pressure in the foreseeable future.

Today:
• Sweden: CPI for Jun. is exp. to accelerate, which could support SEK.
• UK: BoE minutes of July FPC meeting, where officials reduced banks’ capital requirements. The reaction in GBP was limited on the announcement of the measures, so we expect a muted reaction from the minutes as well.
• US: JOLTS job openings for May are exp. to decline a bit.
• Speakers: St. Louis Fed Pres. James Bullard and Fed Board Gov. Daniel Tarullo.

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