US earnings season kicks off
• US earnings season has kicked off and given the financial turbulence of Q1 is expected to paint a bleak picture.
• Market chatter suggests that earnings may fall up to 9%, and the biggest losers are expected to be energy companies.
• This could in turn weigh on US equities such as S&P 500.
• If this triggers more risk aversion, it may hurt commodity currencies and extent the yen’s and gold’s recent gains.

Today:
• Germany: Final CPI for Mar. Reaction in EUR may remain minimal.
• Sweden: CPI for Mar. is exp. to accelerate, which could support SEK at the release. Also, PES unemployment rate for Mar.
• UK: CPI rate for Mar. is exp. to rise. This could add fuel to GBP’s Monday rally.
• US: NFIB small business optimism for Mar.
• Speakers: Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker, San Francisco Fed President John Williams and Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker.

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