Oil rallies as Putin offers his support to limit production
• Oil prices rallied amid fresh signals that a deal to limit oil production can be achieved.
• WTI initially rose on optimistic comments from the Saudi oil minister, and then surged after Putin said Russia supports a deal.
• Even though we do not exclude the possibility that more “verbal stimulus” can push prices even higher near-term, nothing was actually agreed so far.
• So, we’d stay cautious that investors may start doubting whether a deal will finally be struck.

Overnight: RBNZ’s McDermott adds fuel to Kiwi’s plunge
• NZD/USD was on the back foot overnight and McDermott’s comments pushed it even lower.
• He said that the Q3 CPI print is likely to be low and reiterated further easing will be required.
• This may keep NZD under pressure for a while, at least until the Q3 CPI is out next week.

Today:
• Sweden: CPI for Sep. is exp. to accelerate, which could prove SEK-positive.
• Germany: ZEW survey for Oct. The forecast is for both figures to increase, but we see downside risks to the forecasts, mainly due to Deutsche Bank’s troubles. Smaller-than-expected increases could hurt EUR somewhat.
• Canada: Housing starts for Sep. are exp. to rise somewhat.

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