ECB meeting: What will they do?
• The Bank is expected to cut the deposit rate by 0.1% and increase the QE program.
• If the measures are more aggressive than expected this could be EUR-negative.
• But market expectations are high, so if they under-deliver, EUR could surge (as in Dec.)
• After the decision, the focus will be on Draghi’s press conference.

RBNZ cuts rates in surprise move
• NZD/USD plunged 140 pips after the RBNZ cut its official cash rate in a surprise move.
• Officials noted falling inflation expectations and increased financial volatility as the reasons behind the move.
• They maintained an easing bias and reiterated that a weaker Kiwi is needed. NZD could remain under selling pressure.

BoC on hold as expected
• The BoC remained on hold and noted the upcoming fiscal budget. CAD strengthened on the news.
• A significant budget increase on Mar. 22nd is needed to keep CAD supported.

Today:
• Germany: Trade balance for Jan.
• Norway: CPI for Feb. is exp. to remain unchanged.
• US: Initial jobless claims for week ended Mar.4th are exp. to decline.

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