BoE “hawk” Ian McCafferty says more easing is likely to be required
• BoE’s Ian McCafferty said that if the economy turns down in line with initial surveys, then more easing is likely to be required.
• Bank could cut rates further and step up its QE program, but in a gradual way.
• McCafferty is a well-known hawk in the BoE and dissented the August decision to introduce QE (but voted for a rate cut).
• The pound weakened following his comments.
• GBP could head lower in the foreseeable future, weighed on by BoE’s easing bias, weaker GDP growth and slowing investment inflows.

Today:
• UK: NIESR GDP estimate for May-Jul. This will cover for the first time post-referendum activity. A slowdown could bring GBP under renewed selling interest. Industrial production and trade balance, both for June, are coming out as well but they may be seen as outdated.
• US: NFIB small business optimism for July and prel. Unit Labor Cost Index for Q2.
• Canada: Housing starts for July are exp. to decline.

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