IronFX Daily Commentary by Charalambos Pissouros | 09/03/2016
March 9, 2016 10:01 amVideo
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Two major central bank meetings: What to watch
• BoC is likely to stand pat today
• Bank of Canada is expected to remain on hold and wait for the upcoming fiscal budget.
• Inflation is in line with target and oil prices have stabilized, so a move is unlikely.
• Reaction in CAD may be determined by the tone of the statement. No press conference.
• But the RBNZ could surprise
• Expectations are for the Bank to remain on hold and signal a strong easing bias.
• However, due to near-zero inflation, falling inflation expectations and dairy prices, we believe the Bank is likely to cut rates today.
• If the Bank acts like we expect, NZD/USD could plunge on the decision.
Overnight: Chinese stocks down as commodities drop
• Shanghai Composite 300 closed -1.15%, led by losses in energy and commodity firms.
• The tumble in commodity prices could negatively affect European stocks today as well.
Today:
• UK: Industrial output for Jan. is exp. to rise. This could prove GBP-positive.
• US: Wholesale inventories for Jan.
• Speakers: RBNZ Governor Wheeler holds a press conference after rate decision.
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