Is the scenario of a BoJ currency intervention likely?
• JPY has appreciated significantly vs its major counterparts recently.
• PM Abe said that nations should refrain from interventions in FX markets.
• But other officials said the gov. will take steps if needed to counter one-sided currency moves.
• Market chatter is that it is not a matter of whether the BoJ will intervene or not, but rather at what level, if these moves continue.
• Important levels to watch out for in USD/JPY may be 105 and 100.
Today:
• Germany: Trade balance for Feb. Usually not a major market mover.
• UK: Industrial output for Feb. is exp. to slow down. This could prove GBP-negative. Also, the trade balance for Feb.
• Canada: Unemployment rate for Mar. is exp. to remain unchanged, while net change in employment to turn positive. This may support CAD at the release.
• Speakers: New York Fed President William Dudley.

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