IronFX Daily Commentary by Charalambos Pissouros | 07/12/2016
December 7, 2016 9:34 amVideo
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The central bank torch is passed to the Bank of Canada
• Exp. to remain on hold.
• Since the last meeting, data came out mixed. Suggest a dovish statement today, if viewed in isolation.
• However, the OPEC agreement alongside the surge in oil prices make us believe that the Bank may maintain a neutral stance.
• Some optimism in the statement may add fuel to CAD’s recent strength.
Overnight: Australia sees its largest contraction since 2008
• GDP came at -0.5% qoq vs +0.3% qoq exp. (prior: +0.5% qoq)
• Threat for a recession and for the country’s triple-A rating.
• Raises some speculation that the RBA may consider taking action in upcoming meetings.
• AUD tumbled on the release; and could continue trading lower.
As for the rest of today’s events:
• Germany: Industrial production for October. Exp. to rebound. Add to evidence that Eurozone’s growth engine is gaining steam.
• UK: Industrial production for October. PMI slid, so risks are tilted to the downside. We would treat any possible slide in the pound as a corrective phase.
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