US ISM non-manufacturing PMI collapses
• US ISM non-manuf. PMI collapsed to 51.4 in Aug., from 55.5 prev. (exp. 55.0).
• USD plunged, as this pushed back investors’ expectations for the next hike.

BoC is likely to hold its fire, but may shift to a dovish tone
• The BoC is exp. to stand pat. Given the latest deterioration in Canadian data, we see the likelihood for a slightly dovish shift in language.
• Any hints that continued softness in the data could lead to a rate cut, may hurt CAD.

Riksbank to take the sidelines
• The Riksbank is also exp. to remain on hold. An optimistic tone may support SEK.

Today:
• UK: IP for Jul. is exp. to decline, which could hurt GBP, at least temporarily.
• Canada: Ivey PMI for Aug., but the focus will be on the BoC decision.
• US: JOLTS job openings for Jul.
• Speakers: BoE Governor Mark Carney testifies to parliament. Any comments on further easing this year may determine GBP’s forthcoming direction.

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