IronFX Daily Commentary by Charalambos Pissouros | 07/07/2016
July 7, 2016 8:29 amVideo
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June FOMC minutes: Nothing too surprising
• June FOMC minutes confirmed that the UK vote could delay the next Fed rate hike.
• Weak NFP figures also discussed, though deemed by many as “statistical noise”. NFP on Friday may attract even more attention than usual.
• Despite the Fed’s cautiousness, we see risks to USD as tilted to the upside.
• Better data could lead investors to re-price Fed hikes and boost USD.
Today:
• Eurozone: ECB minutes of Jun. policy meeting. Even though these are usually not major market movers, a discussion over what instruments may be appropriate to use in case of a “Brexit” may attract attention.
• UK: I.P for May is exp. to fall, but pre-referendum data may pass unnoticed.
• US: ADP employment report for Jun. is exp. 159k from 173k prev. Despite the decline, if the figure meets the forecast, USD could gain.
• Canada: Ivey PMI for Jun. and building permits for May. Both are exp. to rise.
• Speakers: ECB Vice President Vitor Constancio and ECB Executive Board member Sabine Lautenschlager.
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