Yellen: No hints on near-term hikes
• Fed Chair Yellen maintained a balanced stance, trying not to tip the scale in either way.
• Urged investors not to read too much into a single weak jobs report.
• Did not mention that a hike “would probably be appropriate” in the coming months.
• Probability for a July hike fell from 30% to 25%. Further drop in the probability may keep USD under selling interest.

RBA does not reintroduce an easing bias
• The RBA remained on hold as was exp. Surprisingly, it did not introduce an easing bias.
• AUD/USD surged on the news, as investors expected the Bank to signal future rate cuts.
• Given that the Bank may remain on hold for longer, the Aussie could remain supported in coming weeks.

Today:
• Germany: Industrial production for Apr. is exp. to rise. Usually not a market mover.
• Eurozone: Final GDP for Q1 is exp. to confirm the preliminary estimate.
• US: Final Unit Labor Cost index for Q1. Usually not a major market mover.
• Canada: Ivey PMI for May. No forecast is available.
• Speakers: ECB Governing Council member Francois Villeroy de Galhau.

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