NFP preview: What to watch out for
• US NFP is expected 178k in Dec. Unemployment rate is expected to rise, avg. hourly earnings to increase after falling in Nov.
• Despite a potential rise in the unemployment . rate, these point to a strong report overall, which may support USD.
• Having said that, we view the risks surrounding the dollar’s reaction as asymmetrical.
• A solid report would confirm what we already know (strong data, Fed continues hiking) and thus, the upside reaction in USD may be modest.
• But a potential disappointment could generate concerns that the pace of rate hikes may be slower, perhaps leading to notable profit-taking in USD.
• As for the rest of today’s highlights:
• Eurozone: Retail sales for Nov. but usually not a major market mover.
• Canada: Jobs report for Dec. as well. Unempl. rate is exp. to rise. CAD-negative. Given that the US jobs data are exp. to be solid and the Canadian data soft, USD/CAD could surge on the news.
• Speakers: Chicago Fed President Charles Evans and Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan.

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