RBA on hold, Aussie rises
• The RBA remained on hold, but reiterated further easing may be needed.
• Continued low inflation would provide scope for easier policy.
• AUD/USD rose as the Bank did not clearly call for a weaker currency.
• This disappointed investors who anticipated a strong currency talk down.
• The Bank reaffirmed its data dependency, so AUD direction likely to be determined by incoming data and commodity prices (iron ore).

Today:
• France, Germany & Eurozone: Final service-sector PMIs for Mar.
• Germany: Factory orders for Feb. Usually not major market mover.
• Eurozone: Retail sales for Feb. are exp. to stagnate.
• US: Final Markit service-sector and ISM non-manuf. PMIs, both for Mar. A rise in the ISM may prove USD-positive, at least at the release. Trade balance and JOLTS report, both for Feb.
• Canada: Trade deficit for Feb. is exp. to widen a bit.
• Speakers: Chicago Fed President Charles Evans and ECB Governing Council member Jens Weidmann.

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