IronFX Daily Commentary by Charalambos Pissouros | 05/01/2017
January 5, 2017 9:23 amVideo
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FOMC minutes: High uncertainty around the fiscal package
• The Fed’s Dec. minutes showed high uncertainty with regards to the economic outlook.
• This was mostly linked to the possibility for a future fiscal package, and the lack of details regarding its timing, size and composition.
• Importantly, the FOMC also noted that a strong USD could hold down inflation.
• Reaction in the dollar was volatile. Weakened initially, perhaps due to USD remarks, but recovered to trade even higher in the following minutes.
• Nothing much has changed. The Fed and investors are still awaiting details on Trump’s fiscal plans.
Today’s highlights:
• UK: Services PMI for Dec. is exp. to decline. We see upside risks to the forecast. A positive surprise could prove positive for GBP.
• US: ADP employment report. Exp. 170k vs 216k prior. Despite the decline, could still raise speculation for a decent NFP print on Friday. Also, ISM non-manufacturing PMI for Dec. is exp. to decline, which could hurt USD a bit, at least at the release.
• Speakers: BoE chief economist Andy Haldane.
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