The final US jobs report before the Fed meeting
• Nonfarm payrolls are exp. 190k vs prev. 151k, unemployment rate to remain unchanged, average hourly earnings to slow.
• ADP report was better than exp. so we could see a positive surprise in NFP as well.
• Initial reaction on USD is mainly due to NFP figure, secondary reaction from earnings.

Fed’s Kaplan calls for patience on rate hikes
• Dallas Fed President said policy makers should be patient in raising interest rates.
• This echoed recent comments, when he said he would revise down his expected rate path at the March meeting.
• No rate hike is exp. in March, but downward revisions from more FOMC members could cause USD to trade lower after the meeting.

Today:
• Sweden: Industrial production for Jan.
• Canada: Trade balance for Jan. and Ivey PMI for Feb.
• Speakers: Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan (again).

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