IronFX Daily Commentary by Charalambos Pissouros | 03/10/2016
October 3, 2016 9:17 amVideo
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Theresa May says Article 50 will be triggered in March
• UK PM May said that the “Brexit” negotiations will officially begin by the end of March.
• GBP opened with a gap lower as a result (maybe because investors expected a later date).
• Focus now shifts to a speech by Chancellor Hammond today, where he could provide details on the UK’s fiscal response to “Brexit”.
• A clear signal that the government will abandon its target for a fiscal surplus by 2020, may bring GBP under renewed selling interest.
Today is a PMI day:
• France, Germany & Eurozone: Final manuf. PMIs for Sep.
• UK: Manufacturing PMI for Sep. is exp. to decline, which could hurt GBP.
• US: ISM manufacturing PMI for Sep. is exp. to rise. This may prove USD-positive.
This week:
• Tuesday: RBA rate decision. Bank is exp. to stand pat. Focus will be on the statement’s language, which we exp. to be neutral. This may support AUD a bit. Also, UK construction PMI for Sep.
• Wednesday: UK services PMI, US ADP employment report and ISM non-manuf. PMI, all for Sep.
• Thursday: No major events.
• Friday: US employment report for Sep. Expectations are for a solid report, which could support the dollar. Also, Canada’s employment data for Sep. and the UK’s industrial production for Aug.
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