Main points for Today

RBA cut rates: What now?
• RBA cut rates by 25bps against economists’ expectations of staying on hold. (market was right, economists were wrong)
• Officials judged prospects for growth would be improved by easing at this meeting.
• No signs for further easing though, this could be their final move. AUD under selling pressure, at least temporary.

China’s Caixin PMI shrank for the 14th straight month
• Caixin manufacturing PMI fell to 49.4 from 49.7 (exp. 49.9).
• The rate of decline however has eased recently, raising hopes that China shows signs of stabilizing. This is important, as it could keep the financial markets calm.

Today:
• UK: Manuf. PMI for April exp. to rise a bit. Could be an excuse for GBP-bulls to add to their positions.
• Eurozone: PPI for March is coming out. Not a major market mover.
• Sweden: Industrial production for March to accelerate. SEK-positive.
• Speakers: San Fran. Fed President John Williams, BoC Governor Stephen Poloz, ECB Board Member Benoit Coeure, Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart, and Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester.

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