IronFX Daily Commentary by Charalambos Pissouros | 02/09/2016
September 2, 2016 8:44 amVideo
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US payrolls: Will they pave the way for a September hike?
• NFP for Aug. is exp. 180k vs 255k prev. Unempl. rate to tick down to 4.8% from 4.9%. Avg. hourly earnings are exp. to slow.
• Overall, these point to a solid report that may raise the odds for a Sep. hike and support USD.
• However, NFP has a history of missing forecasts in Aug. and the ISM manuf. PMI showed a contraction in manuf. employment.
• A big miss on expectations may push USD off the cliff as bets for Sep. are pared back.
Today:
• UK: Construction PMI for Aug. is exp. to rise. The manuf. PMI was very strong, so construction could follow suit. This could prove GBP-positive.
• Eurozone: PPI for Jul. but usually not a major market mover.
• US: Factory orders for Jul., but following the NFP, this may pass unnoticed.
• Speakers: Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker.
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