US employment report takes center stage
• Nonfarm payrolls exp. 205k vs prev. 242k, unemployment rate to remain unchanged, average hourly earnings to rise.
• Initial reaction on USD is mainly on the NFP figure, then the focus shifts on earnings.
• A solid report is needed for the dollar to recover some of its recent losses.

Nikkei tumbles on downbeat Tankan survey
• Nikkei 225 is down 3.1% and JPY gained a bit after a downbeat Q1 Tankan survey.
• Likely to add further pressure on the BoJ to ease again in coming months.

Today:
• France, Germany & Eurozone: Final manuf. PMIs for March. Not market movers.
• Eurozone: Unemployment rate for Feb. is exp. to remain unchanged.
• UK: Manuf. PMI for Mar. is exp. to rise, which could prove GBP-positive.
• US: ISM and final Markit manuf. PMIs for Mar. and final U of M consumer sentiment for Mar. The focus is likely to stay on the NFP.
• Canada: RBC manuf. PMI for Mar. Usually not a market mover.
• Speakers: Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester.

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