RBA on hold but maintains easing bias
• The RBA remained on hold as expected, but reiterated further easing may be needed.
• Continued low inflation would provide scope for easier policy.
• We stay focused on the incoming data that will determine AUD direction (GDP Wed.).

Saudi pledges to limit oil volatility
• Saudi Arabia said it will work with other major producers to limit oil price fluctuations.
• Meanwhile, US shale producers have begun to reduce output somewhat.
• Oil prices could remain supported if excess supply is contained, but Iran still a risk.

Today:
• Sweden & Norway: Manufacturing PMIs for Feb. are both exp. to decline.
• France, Germany & Eurozone: Final manufacturing PMIs for Feb.
• Germany & Eurozone: Unemployment rates for Feb. are exp. to remain unchanged.
• UK: Manufacturing PMI for Feb. is exp. to decline. Could prove GBP-negative.
• Canada: Q4 GDP growth rate is exp. to fall to 0.0% qoq from +2.3% qoq previously. This could be CAD-negative.

US: ISM and final Markit manufacturing PMIs for Feb.

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