Even the inflation growth in the eurozone couldn’t move the market. The movement that took place can be seen as symbolic, especially given the significance of the published data. Such caution is caused by not wanting to take risks prematurely, as today the Federal Open Market Committee meeting will take place. And it’s not about interest rates. Probably no one has any doubts now that the Federal Reserve System will raise the refinancing rate by twenty-five basis points. This decision will not affect the market, unlike the subsequent statements by Jerome Powell. The market expects that today’s increase will be the last, and the American regulator will begin preparing for subsequent monetary policy easing. If this does happen, the dollar will likely depreciate. After all, already tomorrow the European Central Bank should raise its refinancing rate by fifty basis points. However, if the head of the Federal Reserve System does not give a clear answer to this question, or even hints at the possibility of further interest rate growth, then in this case the dollar will grow actively. So everything depends on Jerome Powell’s words.
During the retracement phase, the British pound fell below the 1.2500 mark against the US dollar, but this movement did not lead to anything radical. The market still maintains a bullish sentiment, with the recent update of the local high of the medium-term trend as evidence.
On the four-hour chart, the RSI technical indicator is moving within the average level of 50, which may indicate stagnation. At the same time, the indicator’s location in the area of the middle line can be the primary technical signal for the completion of the retracement phase.
On the same chart, the Alligator’s MAs have numerous intersections, which corresponds not only to stagnation but also to the completion of the retracement phase.
Outlook
A primary signal for the end of the retracement phase may arise after the price returns above the 1.2510 level. At the same time, the main technical signal for an increase in the volume of long positions is when the price stays above the level.
In terms of the complex indicator analysis, we see that in the short-term period, technical indicators are signaling the possibility of growth. In the intraday period, there is an alternate signal due to the possible end of the retracement phase. In the medium-term period, the indicators are focused on the uptrend.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com
Even the inflation growth in the eurozone couldn’t move the market. The movement that took place can be seen as symbolic, especially given the significance of the published data. Such caution is caused by not wanting to take risks prematurely, as today the Federal Open Market Committee meeting will take place. And it’s not about interest rates. Probably no one has any doubts now that the Federal Reserve System will raise the refinancing rate by twenty-five basis points. This decision will not affect the market, unlike the subsequent statements by Jerome Powell. The market expects that today’s increase will be the last, and the American regulator will begin preparing for subsequent monetary policy easing. If this does happen, the dollar will likely depreciate. After all, already tomorrow the European Central Bank should raise its refinancing rate by fifty basis points. However, if the head of the Federal Reserve System does not give a clear answer to this question, or even hints at the possibility of further interest rate growth, then in this case the dollar will grow actively. So everything depends on Jerome Powell’s words.
During the retracement phase, the British pound fell below the 1.2500 mark against the US dollar, but this movement did not lead to anything radical. The market still maintains a bullish sentiment, with the recent update of the local high of the medium-term trend as evidence.
On the four-hour chart, the RSI technical indicator is moving within the average level of 50, which may indicate stagnation. At the same time, the indicator’s location in the area of the middle line can be the primary technical signal for the completion of the retracement phase.
On the same chart, the Alligator’s MAs have numerous intersections, which corresponds not only to stagnation but also to the completion of the retracement phase.
Outlook
A primary signal for the end of the retracement phase may arise after the price returns above the 1.2510 level. At the same time, the main technical signal for an increase in the volume of long positions is when the price stays above the level.
In terms of the complex indicator analysis, we see that in the short-term period, technical indicators are signaling the possibility of growth. In the intraday period, there is an alternate signal due to the possible end of the retracement phase. In the medium-term period, the indicators are focused on the uptrend.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com
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