GBP/USD. April 9. The trading system “Regression Channels”. Brexit: rubber continues to stretch
April 9, 2019 12:22 pm
4-hour timeframe
Technical details:
The upper linear regression channel: direction – up.
The lower linear regression channel: direction – down.
Moving average (20; smoothed) – down.
CCI: -18.7027
The currency pair GBP/USD has again adjusted to the moving average line and can easily overcome it, considering the “swings” that we have seen in recent weeks. Meanwhile, the UK has passed a law that obliges Theresa May to request a deferment of Brexit from the European Union. By and large, this law is nothing more than insurance against a possible “tough” Brexit scenario. London, asking for a postponement was clear to everyone and without the relevant law. However, Theresa May has much less room for maneuver now, her duties are clearly spelled out in the new law. Now we need to wait for the reaction of the European Union, which also offers a postponement, but at least a year. In the coming days, information will be received on which agreement the parties will come to in this matter. Based on this decision, it will be possible to assume further developments. In the meantime, the downtrend for the pair remains, but there are serious problems with overcoming Murray’s level of “5/8” – 1.3000. There were already three unsuccessful attempts to overcome. Thus, while the price is below the MA, you can count on a fourth attempt. However, leaving the pair higher than the MA can mean that they are ready to grow by 50-100 points. This was the end of the previous two fixations above the MA.
Nearest support levels:
S1 – 1.3062
S2 – 1.3000
S3 – 1.2939
Nearest resistance levels:
R1 – 1.3123
R2 – 1.3184
R3 – 1.3245
Trading recommendations:
The pair GBP / USD has started a new round of upward correction. Traders are now completely confused since it is completely incomprehensible how Brexit will end. Accordingly, few people consider long-term and medium-term positions. Short positions with a target at 1.3000 after the completion of the next round of correction are relevant.
Buy positions can be considered after the pair is fixed above the moving average, but only with a “short” target – 1.3184.
In addition to the technical picture should also take into account the fundamental data and the time of their release.
Explanations for illustrations:
The upper linear regression channel is the blue lines of the unidirectional movement.
The lower linear channel is the purple lines of the unidirectional movement.
CCI is the blue line in the indicator regression window.
The moving average (20; smoothed) is the blue line on the price chart.
Murray levels – multi-colored horizontal stripes.
Heiken Ashi is an indicator that colors bars in blue or purple.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com
4-hour timeframe
Technical details:
The upper linear regression channel: direction – up.
The lower linear regression channel: direction – down.
Moving average (20; smoothed) – down.
CCI: -18.7027
The currency pair GBP/USD has again adjusted to the moving average line and can easily overcome it, considering the “swings” that we have seen in recent weeks. Meanwhile, the UK has passed a law that obliges Theresa May to request a deferment of Brexit from the European Union. By and large, this law is nothing more than insurance against a possible “tough” Brexit scenario. London, asking for a postponement was clear to everyone and without the relevant law. However, Theresa May has much less room for maneuver now, her duties are clearly spelled out in the new law. Now we need to wait for the reaction of the European Union, which also offers a postponement, but at least a year. In the coming days, information will be received on which agreement the parties will come to in this matter. Based on this decision, it will be possible to assume further developments. In the meantime, the downtrend for the pair remains, but there are serious problems with overcoming Murray’s level of “5/8” – 1.3000. There were already three unsuccessful attempts to overcome. Thus, while the price is below the MA, you can count on a fourth attempt. However, leaving the pair higher than the MA can mean that they are ready to grow by 50-100 points. This was the end of the previous two fixations above the MA.
Nearest support levels:
S1 – 1.3062
S2 – 1.3000
S3 – 1.2939
Nearest resistance levels:
R1 – 1.3123
R2 – 1.3184
R3 – 1.3245
Trading recommendations:
The pair GBP / USD has started a new round of upward correction. Traders are now completely confused since it is completely incomprehensible how Brexit will end. Accordingly, few people consider long-term and medium-term positions. Short positions with a target at 1.3000 after the completion of the next round of correction are relevant.
Buy positions can be considered after the pair is fixed above the moving average, but only with a “short” target – 1.3184.
In addition to the technical picture should also take into account the fundamental data and the time of their release.
Explanations for illustrations:
The upper linear regression channel is the blue lines of the unidirectional movement.
The lower linear channel is the purple lines of the unidirectional movement.
CCI is the blue line in the indicator regression window.
The moving average (20; smoothed) is the blue line on the price chart.
Murray levels – multi-colored horizontal stripes.
Heiken Ashi is an indicator that colors bars in blue or purple.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com
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