EUR/AUD dynamics scenarios on August 18, 2023
August 18, 2023 3:20 pmVideo
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The situation at the European Central Bank (ECB) is slightly different, with a different approach to monetary policy changes. Preliminary data shows that the Eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased to -0.1% in July (from +0.3% previously) and +5.3% year-on-year (from +5.5% the previous month). Nevertheless, unlike the RBA, the ECB does not plan to pause its interest rate hikes, which will support the euro, economists believe. The difference in approaches to monetary policy changes will likely contribute to further strengthening of the euro against the Australian dollar.
Next Tuesday, fresh business activity indicators will be published in Australia, and on Wednesday, in Germany and the Eurozone, which could give the EUR/AUD pair a new boost.
Since mid-August of the previous year, EUR/AUD has been rising and continues to maintain positive dynamics, trading in a bullish market above key support levels of 1.6100 (200 EMA on the daily chart) and 1.5770 (200 EMA, 144 EMA on the weekly chart). A break above the May 2020 and this week’s high at 1.7063 would open the way for the pair to rise towards the upper boundary of the upward channel on the weekly chart and levels of 1.7200 and 1.7270.
Next Tuesday, fresh business activity indicators will be published in Australia, and on Wednesday, in Germany and the Eurozone, which could give the EUR/AUD pair a new boost.
Since mid-August of the previous year, EUR/AUD has been rising and continues to maintain positive dynamics, trading in a bullish market above key support levels of 1.6100 (200 EMA on the daily chart) and 1.5770 (200 EMA, 144 EMA on the weekly chart). A break above the May 2020 and this week’s high at 1.7063 would open the way for the pair to rise towards the upper boundary of the upward channel on the weekly chart and levels of 1.7200 and 1.7270.
The OsMA and Stochastic indicators on the daily and weekly charts are also on the buyers’ side, with the Stochastic not leaving the overbought zone, indicating a strong bullish impulse.
An alternative scenario, if it occurs, would involve a break of the crucial short-term support level at 1.6836 (200 EMA on the 1-hour chart) and a decline towards support levels of 1.6625 (200 EMA on the 4-hour chart) and 1.6550 (50 EMA on the daily chart). A deeper correction is currently unlikely.
Support levels: 1.6958, 1.6863, 1.6625, 1.6600, 1.6550, 1.6230, 1.6100, 1.6020, 1.5770
Resistance levels: 1.7060, 1.7100, 1.7200, 1.7270, 1.7300
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com
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