Dollar Pressure Mounts


Morning Report: 06.30 London


• This morning, the Dollar pressure has continued, adding to the sizeable post-Fed losses seen this week. While the Dollar has suffered, oil prices have risen to their highest in many months – nudging firmly above the $40 marker.

                    

                    

• The release of the minutes from the last BOJ meeting have had minimal impact thus far, though there were some indications of the strong yen having a negative impact.

                    

• The Pound enjoyed a strong day yesterday despite the Bank of England keeping rates on hold. A rate hike is still more likely than not in the next two years and that’s the message that markets appear to have taken from yesterday.

                    

                    

• Other Dollar pairs have had a positive session, with commodity related currencies such as the Aussie dollar performing well.

                    

                    

Coming up today:

• At midday we get Canadian core CPI and retail sales.

• This is followed by FOMC member Dudley speaking at 13.00.

• US preliminary UoM consumer sentiment follows at 14.00.

• From 15.00 we have further Fed speak with FOMC member Rosengren and Bullard speaking at 18.00.

Trade Idea:

• Oil prices continue to show some stability, while the US dollar weakens on a consistent basis.

• The USD/CAD slipped lower again yesterday and there could be more downside to come.

A good way to play this is a LOWER trade predicting that the USD/CAD will close below 1.2900 in 10 days time for a potential return of 177%.


                         

                                                         

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