Will the Fed kick tapering into the long grass?

Morning Report: 08.15 London

• This morning, markets are mixed with a whiff of positivity following last night’s speculation that the US Federal reserve may defer any tapering decisions until 2014. The S&P 500 rose sharply last night from the lows, while the the dollar index has continued its down trend.
 

 

• The NZD/USD is performing well this morning on the back of last night’s news that the next Avatar films will be short in New Zealand.

• The dollar pairs are generally performing well, with the GBP/USD up 0.15%.

• The yen pairs are generally backing off, primarily due to dollar weakness rather than yen strength.

Coming up today:

• First up today we have UK CPI at 09.30 alongside RPI. No significant difference is expected aside from a slight increase in RPI. UK CBI Industrial Order Expectations are released at 11.00. BOE governor Carney speaks at 10.30.

• Next up is German and pan European ZEW economic sentiment at 10.00, with the Eurogroup meeting running all day in the background.

• From 13.30 we switch to the US with Canadian manufacturing sales at 13.30 and US core CPI at the same time.

Trade Idea:

• The Dollar index down trend has so far shown no real signs of reversing, making upside bets on the dollar pairs look attractive.



The GBP/USD could be a good pair for this. A HIGHER trade predicting that the GBP/USD closes above 1.6350 in 3 days time could return 117%.

This is presented as an idea to stimulate fixed odds financial betting ideas and is not financial advice. 

Summary:



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