BetOnMarkets

 

Read the
Daily Market Report from Dave Evans, BetOnMarkets
Market Strategist.

 
 

 

Morning Report: Stand
by for action

Morning
Report: 07.45 London

• Forex markets
are quiet, with the US dollar
regaining a little of the
significant ground lost
yesterday. This is especially
the case with the the Swiss
franc, which is notable for its
weakness this morning with the USD/CHF
up by 0.78%.

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• This should be the calm before
the storm though as there is an
extremely heavy economic data
flow today.

Coming up today:

• Coming up today we have UK
manufacturing production at
09.30, a slight drop in activity
is expected.

• Following this at 12.00 we
have the latest interest rate
statement and quantitative
easing levels announced from the
UK’s Bank of England. No change
is expected, but as ever,
traders will be looking for
hints at future monetary policy
further down the line.

• At 12.45 then 13.30 we have
the European rate announcement
followed by the press conference
with no change expected again,
but Trichet’s words could still
have an impact.

• Canadian and US trade balance
is at 13.30 with a drop expected
for both countries.

• At the same time there is US
PPI and unemployment claims. No
change is expected for the
former, with a slight drop
expected for the latter.

• Finally Fed chairman Ben
Bernanke speaks at 18.00.

Bet Idea

• The EUR/GBP
has been trading
in a tight range this morning
ahead of the big economic data,
so tight in fact that you have
to go back to 2007 to find a day
that closed with such a tight
range. The last three days have
been unusually quiet for the
pair, hinting at a breakout to
come. We so much economic data
due, its unlikely that the
EUR/GBP will remain in its 27
pip range all day.

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Therefore
a trade idea is to use an
IN/OUT trade to predict that
the EUR/GBP will END outside
of 0.8285 or 0.8375 in the
next 1 day for a potential
return of 144%.

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Summary:


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image

 

   


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