Analysis and trading tips for GBP/USD on October 4 (US session)
October 4, 2023 12:26 pm
Analysis of transactions and trading tips on GBP/USD
The test of 1.20758, coinciding with the drop of the MACD line from zero, prompted a sell signal that led to a price decrease of around 10 pips. Pressure eased after due to the fairly good activity data in the UK services sector.
Ahead lies the business activity data from the ISM, followed by the composite PMI and ADP employment report. Better-than-expected numbers will increase dollar demand, leading to a decline in GBP/USD. But if the data disappoints, and FOMC member Michelle Bowman says that interest rates could remain unchanged in the foreseeable future, pound will rise, continuing the upward correction.
For long positions:
Buy when pound hits 1.2144 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2195 (thicker green line on the chart). Growth will occur only after weak data from the US.
When buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it. Pound can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.2114, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2144 and 1.2195.
For short positions:
Sell when pound reaches 1.2114 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2057. Pressure may return after the release of strong US reports and firm stance from Fed representatives.
When selling, make sure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it. Pound can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.2144, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2114 and 1.2057.
What’s on the chart:
Thin green line – entry price at which you can buy GBP/USD
Thick green line – estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
Thin red line – entry price at which you can sell GBP/USD
Thick red line – estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market
Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com
Analysis of transactions and trading tips on GBP/USD
The test of 1.20758, coinciding with the drop of the MACD line from zero, prompted a sell signal that led to a price decrease of around 10 pips. Pressure eased after due to the fairly good activity data in the UK services sector.
Ahead lies the business activity data from the ISM, followed by the composite PMI and ADP employment report. Better-than-expected numbers will increase dollar demand, leading to a decline in GBP/USD. But if the data disappoints, and FOMC member Michelle Bowman says that interest rates could remain unchanged in the foreseeable future, pound will rise, continuing the upward correction.
For long positions:
Buy when pound hits 1.2144 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2195 (thicker green line on the chart). Growth will occur only after weak data from the US.
When buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it. Pound can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.2114, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2144 and 1.2195.
For short positions:
Sell when pound reaches 1.2114 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2057. Pressure may return after the release of strong US reports and firm stance from Fed representatives.
When selling, make sure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it. Pound can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.2144, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2114 and 1.2057.
What’s on the chart:
Thin green line – entry price at which you can buy GBP/USD
Thick green line – estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
Thin red line – entry price at which you can sell GBP/USD
Thick red line – estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market
Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com
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