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Analysis and trading tips for EUR/USD on October 19 (US session)
October 19, 2023 12:23 pmVideo
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Analysis of transactions and trading tips on EUR/USD
Further growth became limited because the test of 1.0547, which occurred earlier in the day, coincided with the sharp upward move of the MACD line from zero. Most likely, the empty macroeconomic calendar kept market volatility low, putting pressure on the pair.
The upcoming US labor market data can put further pressure on EUR/USD, especially if it shows a decrease in initial jobless claims. And if the Philadelphia Fed’s manufacturing index reported an increase, together with a rise in home sales in the secondary market, euro buyers may have no chance at all. Also look out for the speech of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell as he may shed light on how the committee plans to act at its November meeting.
For long positions:
Buy when euro hits 1.0565 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0591. Growth will occur in the event of weak labor market data in the US and soft statements from Fed representatives. However, when buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it.
Euro can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.0545, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0565 and 1.0591.
For short positions:
Sell when euro reaches 1.0545 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0518. Pressure will return in the case of strong US statistics and firm statements from the Fed. However, when selling, make sure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it.
Euro can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.0565, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0545 and 1.0518.
What’s on the chart:
Thin green line – entry price at which you can buy EUR/USD
Thick green line – estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
Thin red line – entry price at which you can sell EUR/USD
Thick red line – estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market
Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com
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