The test of 1.0798, coinciding with the significant rise of the MACD line from zero, limited the upward potential of the pair. Clearly, market players preferred not to force events amid low volatility ahead of important data and Fed’s interest rate decisions.

analytics6489a143ed643.jpg

Key inflation data from the US will come out today, followed by the Fed’s decision on interest rates. If Powell announces a pause or the end of the rate hike cycle, euro will rise. If he does not, euro will continue to decline.

For long positions:

Buy when euro hits 1.0815 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0865. Growth will occur if inflationary pressures in the US slow down. However, before buying, traders should make sure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it. Euro can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.0773, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0815 and 1.0865.

For short positions:

Sell when euro reaches 1.0773 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0735. Pressure will return, but will not be strong even after the Fed’s interest rate decision. Nevertheless, before selling, traders should make sure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it. Euro can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.0815, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0773 and 1.0735.

analytics6489a149414a5.jpg

What’s on the chart:

Thin green line – entry price at which you can buy EUR/USD

Thick green line – estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.

Thin red line – entry price at which you can sell EUR/USD

Thick red line – estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.

MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market

Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.

And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.

The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com

Trade Forex, Commodities, Stocks and more, trade CFDs on the Plus 500 CFD trading platform! *CFD Service. 80.6% lose money - Register a real money account here and get trading right away.