“Brexit”: The decision has been made | 24/06/16
June 24, 2016 9:13 amVideo
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“Brexit” it is…
• The UK has voted to leave the EU.
• GBP/USD collapsed to levels last seen in 1985. Euro plunged as well, but to a lesser extent than sterling.
• We expect both GBP and EUR to continue lower, as uncertainty over the future of both the UK and the EU heightens.
• JPY and gold gained as investors flocked to safe havens. Both could gain even more in coming days.
• Nikkei 225 is down 6.7%. UK and European stock indices are very likely to follow suit.
• Likelihood for more easing by the BoJ and ECB in the near-term is now much higher.
• If JPY and CHF continue to strengthen, we could see FX interventions by BoJ and SNB. BoJ said its ready to act, SNB did not comment.
Today’s indicators:
• Germany: Ifo survey for June, but in the aftermath of “Brexit, likely to pass unnoticed.
• US: Durable goods orders for May are exp. to fall.
• Speakers: ECB Governing Council member Francois Villeroy de Galhau.
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