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Wave summary:

We saw a nice test of strong resistance near 1.6500 yesterday, but no break above this resistance was seen. We do however expected that a break above here will be seen soon for a move closer to 1.6950. That said we also have to be aware of the risk of a breakout below support at 1.6124, which is likely to extend the downside for a decline closer to 1.5882. This is not our preferred outcome, but if support at 1.6124 is broken that will become our preferred count.

Trading recommendation:

We are long EUR from 1.6390 with stop placed at 1.6180. If you are not long EUR yet, then wait a buy a break above 1.6515 for a rally closer to 1.6950.

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