SP 500 at Crucial Cross-Roads
December 3, 2012 3:32 pmVideo
Latest News
- Technical Analysis – GBPUSD tries to recoup some losses April 18, 2024
- USD/JPY in crisis April 18, 2024
- EUR/USD: trading plan for US session on April 18. EUR gets stuck at 1.0686 April 18, 2024
- Fed to keep policy tight for longer than markets view April 18, 2024
- Technical Analysis – BTCUSD drops to 6-week low as halving looms April 18, 2024
- Midweek Technical Look – EURUSD, US 500, WTI April 18, 2024
- Technical Analysis – AUDJPY pulls back but stays in uptrend April 18, 2024
- Forex forecast 04/18/2024: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, Oil and Bitcoin from Sebastian Seliga April 18, 2024
- Video market update for April 18, 2024 April 18, 2024
- Technical Analysis – WTI oil futures exit sideways move to the downside April 18, 2024
- Market Comment – US dollar on the back foot as nervousness lingers in equity markets April 18, 2024
- Hot forecast for EUR/USD on April 18, 2024 April 18, 2024
- EUR/USD and GBP/USD: Technical analysis on April 18 April 18, 2024
- Trading plan for GBP/USD on April 18. Simple tips for beginners April 18, 2024
- Trading plan for EUR/USD on April 18. Simple tips for beginners April 18, 2024
- The Fed and global instability: a double blow to American markets April 18, 2024
- Forecast for EUR/USD on April 18, 2024 April 18, 2024
- Forecast for GBP/USD on April 18, 2024 April 18, 2024
- Forecast for AUD/USD on April 18, 2024 April 18, 2024
- Outlook for GBP/USD on April 18. Pound was not impressed by the inflation data April 18, 2024
SP 500 Index at a Crucial Crossroad
David A. Banister- www.MarketTrendForecast.com Dec 3, 2012
We had an interesting 131 point SP 500 decline from the summer-fall highs of 1474 to the recent 1344 lows. Interesting because in the work that I do, we focus on crowd behavioral patterns, sentiment, and Elliott Wave Theory. There is no one technical analysis methodology that works all the time, so it’s important to incorporate other elements into your work to help with some clues. Let’s examine the crossroad we are at right now around 1420 on the SP 500 and why the next move may be a “tell” as they say in poker.
The correction from the 1474 highs can be read as a 3 wave correction, which in Elliott Wave Theory is corrective against the major trend, which so far has been up. 3 wave corrections serve to work off over zealousness of the crowd and above average bullish sentiment. To be sure, at the 1474 highs the sentiment surveys were running pretty hot and near 3 year highs, a flag that waved a warning sign for us. The correction though worked off that sentiment and at 1344 was in fact a Fibonacci 61.8% retracement of the rally from 1257-1474 that we witnessed this summer. These type of Fibonacci fractal retracements at 61.8% are common correction patterns in bull cycles.
What we need to see near term on this crossroad then is a clear cut rally over the 1424 area, which now is a 61.8% upwards retracement of the drop from 1474-1344. Why is that important to clear? Because 61.8% also is a common upwards retracement for a wave 2 counter-rally in a downward trend. Clearing that hurdle would indicate that the rally from the 1344 lows is more than just a counter-trend rally, and likely the confirmed start of a solid leg upwards towards highs for this bull market cycle.
This is why we like to draw these lines in the sands and let our subscribers be aware of what to watch and why. See the chart below to get an idea of where we are at in the current cycle: Consider joining us so we can help you with daily updates on the SP 500 and Gold, stop scratching your head and guessing as to the patterns in the markets today! 33% discount if you go to www.MarketTrendForecast.com and sign up, and or sign up for our free weekly reports.
Related Posts: