March 28, 2014 – Commodities News

Hot Asset For Today: Oil

Yesterday, after breaking through the $1,300 support line, Gold has reached as low as $1,288 – a new one month low. Investors thought that a move below the support line will generate increased demand. However, the dollar held strong providing additional confirmation towards the continuity of the Fed’s tapering policy. According to analysts, from a technical analysis perspective, the asset will continue to move downwards. However, taking into account the low price, physical demand will play an important role in determining the price direction.

Oil has continued its claimed to a three weeks high, trading above $101.5 a barrel. The upwards movement in caused by two main factors. First, the geopolitical tension in the Ukraine, earlier this week Obama’s speech on the potential sanctions included a direct reference to Russia’s energy sector. Secondly, the combination of the declining stockpiles in Cushing, Oklahoma driven by the opening of the TransCanada pipeline to the Texas Gulf coast earlier this January and the steep increase in Gasoline demand (+5.8%) reaching a three month high.

Wheat prices have been moving up consistently for the fourth week. The upwards movement was driven by concerns of dry session that will hurt the crops in the U.S., the largest exporter. However, the meteorological reports on expected showers in the next 11-15 days have eased price increase.

By Andrew Cole

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