The US existing home sales declined 5.1%. It declined
sharply in January from December, to 4.62 million units. The sales were down to the lowest level in 18 months. Starting this year, the US economic
data were printed below expectations such as jobs data, building permits and other
economic indicators. On the other hand, the Fed starts tapering its bond purchasing
program. Gold is an investment tool used for hedging purpose. The weak dollar and low interest rates made investors
to look at gold, which was hardly beaten in last 2 years.

From August 2013 high’s, gold went back again to June’s lows
and made a higher low. From the low of the 2013 end, gold started picking up and
slowly shifted it gear towards higher levels. In the daily chart gold is
trading between 61.8-50.0 fib levels from last 5 trading days and it is restricted at the 200 DEMA level. Either side breaks make clear picture. RSI is indicating
over bought signals. The higher level is restricted at the level of $1,337.0 from
the cmp as per fib. Last week’s low was very crucial. Breaking below, the price will
fall back to $1,300.0, $1,290.0, $1,284.0, and $1,274.0. If trades are above $1,325, next targets will be at $1,336.0. Until gold crosses and trades above $1,338.0, we remain in
sell side. If it trades above $1,338.0, then it may touch $1,360-$1,370.

Positional basis:

S1 $1,307.0 R1 $1,328.0

S2 $1,300.0 R1 $1,332.0

S3 $1,295.0 R1 $1,338.0

1393204281_GOLDDaily.png

In the hourly chart gold has broken down and trading below its
rising trend line from the last week’s low at the level of $1307.0. Now the
support became resistance. In the Asian trading session gold is trading at the
level of $1,323.80. RSI still favours selling.

Intraday:

S1 $1,319.0 R1 $1,325.5

S2 $1,315.0 R1 $1,328.0

S3 $1,307.0 R1 $1,332.0

GOLDH1.png

Recommendation-

Sell on rise and add more if it trades below $1,322.0 with targets
$1,319.0, $1,316.0, and $1,312.0, sl is at $1,326.0.

The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com

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