A summer rate cut by the Fed hangs in the balance amid persistent inflation Rate cut bets have been scaled back from more than six to around two But limited fallout on Wall Street; can the risk rally survive no rate cuts? Waiting for the elusive rate cut Ever since the Fed signalled it was […]
Citigroup shares post 25-month high in 2024 But experience a setback ahead of Q4 earnings on Friday Short-term oscillators soften in overbought territories Citigroup’s stock has been staging a V-shaped recovery since its 2023 bottom in October, posting consecutive multi-month highs. In the near term, the stock posted a fresh 25-month peak of 63.62 one week […]
Will USDJPY test 153.00 soon? RSI and stochastics enter overbought regions USDJPY is skyrocketing towards a fresh 34-year high of 152.50 after the US CPI data. The market exited from the narrow range that was in during the previous 20 days with the technical oscillators confirming an upside tendency again. The RSI is crossing above […]
AUDCAD rallies after hitting uptrend line RSI and MACD detect positive momentum A break above 0.9055 could shift the outlook to clearly bullish But a dip below 0.8810 could invite more bears AUDCAD has been trading in a rally mode since April 2, when it hit support at the near-term uptrend line drawn from the […]
US banks kick off Q1 earnings on Friday before opening bell Earnings set to drop despite the robust US economy Valuation multiples rise but remain historically cheap Solid quarter due to Fed repricing The banking sector started the year on the wrong foot as expectations of six rate cuts by the Fed had delivered a strong […]
EURCHF still stands above rising trend line Technical oscillators indicate negative correction EURCHF has been in an ascending tendency since the end of January, and it posted a fresh almost one-year high of 0.9847 in the preceding week. Currently, the market is on the backfoot with the technical oscillators indicating a bearish retracement. The RSI is moving […]
CADJPY remains within a range despite hitting new high Upside risks exist above 111.50; bears could take the lead below 110.40 BoC rate decision at 13:45 GMT is the highlight of the Canadian calendar CADJPY has been trading sideways after touching the 112.00 area, keeping its weak momentum despite reaching a new high of […]
CADJPY remains within a range despite hitting new high Upside risks exist above 111.50; bears could take the lead below 110.40 BoC rate decision at 13:45 GMT is the highlight of the Canadian calendar CADJPY remained stagnant after entering the 112.00 area, keeping its weak momentum despite reaching a new high of 112.46 last […]
USDJPY trades sideways a tad below 152.00 This level was protected by Japanese authorities in 2022 Momentum indicators approach overbought conditions USDJPY has been in a steady uptrend after finding its feet at the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) in early March. In the near-term, the pair has been trading flat after posting a fresh 34-year high of 151.95, […]
US Dollar and stocks are in the green today ahead of the key US CPI report All eyes will be on equites if CPI surprises on the upside RBNZ remains hawkish; BoC could show a dovish tilt Dollar and stocks in the green ahead of US CPI The US dollar is higher today as the […]
EURUSD trades sideways between 1.0725 and 1.0930 Oscillators confirm the lack of directional momentum A move above 1.0930 may be needed to brighten the outlook EURUSD pulled back on Tuesday, after hitting resistance slightly above the 1.0875 barrier, marked by the high of April 4. In the bigger picture, most of the price action has […]
Gold holds within upper Bollinger band range MACD and RSI indicate bearish retracement Gold is attempting to test yesterday’s record high of 2,365 again with the technical oscillators holding near their overbought territories. The MACD oscillator is falling beneath its trigger line well above the zero level, while the RSI is ticking slightly lower, remaining […]
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NZDUSD shows recovery signs ahead of RBNZ decision Resistance near 0.6070; support at 0.6000 NZDUSD entered the week on a positive note as investors awaited to hear the RBNZ’s policy update during Wednesday’s Asian trading hours. The pair stretched Monday’s rebound marginally above the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) to examine the 50% Fibonacci […]
Dovish BoE encourages more rate cut bets UK GDP for February expected to reveal slowdown The data comes out on Friday at 06:00 GMT Investors add to June rate cut bets after BoE decision With inflation in the UK coming down faster than previously expected, the Bank of England (BoE) appeared more dovish than expected […]
EURUSD recovers somewhat above 1.0800 But MACD and RSI rebounds lose steam EURUSD recorded a stunning rally last week, surpassing the flat simple moving averages (SMAs) following the bounce off the medium-term tentative uptrend line. This week, though, the pair is on the backfoot and the technical indicators suggest that the market could ease a […]
BoC monetary report due on Wednesday 13:45 GMT, press conference at 14:30 GMT Interest rates to remain steady this time, but policymakers might support a June rate cut USDCAD maintains soft uptrend, needs a clear close above 1.3600 to rally BoC closer to its inflation goal than its major peers The Bank of Canada […]
EURJPY rebounds off uptrend line Price holds above SMAs Oscillators indicate more bullish movements EURJPY is climbing higher after the turning point near the medium-term ascending trend line and is moving towards the 16-year high of 165.36. The market has been developing within an uptrend since December 7 with the technical oscillators confirming an upside […]
Gold prices remain near record highs – is the rally overstretched? Yen hovers at multi-decade lows, FX intervention still on the radar Dollar inches lower, stocks trade sideways, RBNZ meeting next All that glitters is gold The world’s oldest safe-haven asset has gone on a tear this year, rising more than 13% to reach consecutive […]
AUDUSD bounces off 200-period SMA RSI suggests some losses AUDUSD created consecutive green days after the bounce off the 0.6550 support level, which overlaps with the 200-period simple moving averages (SMAs) in the 4-hour chart. According to the technical oscillators, the RSI is moving marginally down in the positive region, while the MACD is still […]
GBPUSD trades sideways between parallel SMAs Remains within its medium-term neutral pattern Momentum indicators improve but stay in negative zones GBPUSD experienced a strong decline following its break above the rangebound structure in place since November. Despite the temporary violation of the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), the pair reversed back higher before the 50-day SMA curbed […]
The ECB meets on Thursday with strong indications for a dovish tilt Low chances of a rate cut being announced this week The euro could enjoy a short-term rally against the US dollar if ECB proves hawkish Decision will be announced on Thursday 12.15 GMT, press conference at 12:45 GMT The ECB meets this week […]
US CPI inflation expected to have ticked up in March But markets may shrug it off if core figure inches lower Data due at 13:30 GMT, Wednesday, will be followed by FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT Will CPI report boost rate cut bets? Inflation data according to the CPI and PCE measures have started to […]
AUDUSD lacks clear direction MACD and RSI move horizontally AUDUSD is moving back and forth from the short-term simple moving averages (SMAs) which are standing near the 0.6540 number. The pair is also consolidating within the 0.6485-0.6635 range with the technical oscillators confirming this view. The MACD is moving horizontally below its trigger line and […]
USDJPY has been quiet within a range for a while. Is it time for action? EURGBP keeps looking for a bullish trend reversal as ECB rate decision looms USDCAD maintains positive structure ahead of an interesting BoC meeting US CPI inflation –> USDJPY Wednesday will be an inflation day in the US. The new […]
US 500 creates some downside recovery Oscillators indicate bearish correction The US 500 cash index has lost some momentum in the preceding days, diving beneath the steep uptrend line, but the outlook remains bullish in the long-term view. Technically, the RSI indicator is flattening above the neutral threshold of 50, while the MACD dropped beneath […]
Nonfarm payrolls smash forecasts, reaffirming labor market strength But dollar unable to hold onto gains, as stock markets race higher Gold hits new record highs, defying rising yields and geopolitics US labor market sizzles The American economy continues to hum along, with the labor market still firing on all cylinders. Nonfarm payrolls rose by 303k […]
EURUSD fluctuates near its 50- and 200-day SMAs Forms two successive doji candles, unable to adopt a direction Momentum indicators strengthen but remain negative EURUSD experienced an aggressive decline before finding its feet at 1.0722, a region that also held strong in February. Despite its attempt to rebound, the pair has met strong resistance at the […]
Gold reaches 2,353.90 above 161.8% Fibonacci extension MACD and RSI move higher in overbought regions Gold prices are experiencing a fresh higher high today around the 2,353.90 level, successfully surpassing the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level of the downward move from 2,079 to 1,810 at 2,245. The bullish rally started after the rebound off the 1,984 […]
Earnings parade unofficially starts on April 12 with major US banks S&P 500 profit growth forecast at 5.1% y/y after downward revision Fluctuating expectations around Fed policy remain a key risk factor Investors hit the pause button Undoubtedly, the major US indices had a fantastic 2023, with the positive momentum being carried over to this […]
