Fractal analysis of major currency pairs for October 16

Dear colleagues. For the Euro / Dollar currency pair, we are following the ascending structure of October 9, a pronounced movement is expected after the breakdown of 1.1628. For the pound / dollar currency pair, we expect a resumption of the uptrend after the breakdown of 1.3211. For the currency pair Dollar / Franc, the […]

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Australian employment report expected to remain solid; unlikely to excite aussie traders – Forex News Preview

Australia’s employment report for September is likely to attract investors’ attention and is scheduled for release on Thursday at 0030 GMT. The aussie is on the receiving end of considerable downside pressure stemming from growing concerns about a full-blown trade war between the US and China, as well as on the back of domestic drivers. Stronger data […]

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Intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for GBP/USD for October 16, 2018

On September 13, the depicted daily downtrend line which came to meet the pair around 1.3025-1.3090 failed to offer enough bearish pressure on the pair. Since then, the GBP/USD pair has been demonstrating a successful bullish breakout so far. On September 21, the GBP/USD failed to demonstrate sufficient bullish momentum above 1.3296. The short-term outlook […]

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Intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for EUR/USD for October 16, 2018

On the weekly chart, the EUR/USD pair is demonstrating a high-probability Head and Shoulders reversal pattern where the right shoulder is currently in progress. On September 10, the price level of 1.1500 offered temporary bullish recovery. A quick bullish movement was demonstrated towards the upper limit of the price range (1.1750). However, the EUR/USD bulls […]

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Why Wheat Price Could Continue to Rise After WASDE Report

Wheat is an important agricultural commodity consumed by billions of people around the world every day. It is used in the making of bread and other food products. As the world’s population has risen, the demand for wheat has risen as well. The biggest producers of wheat are China, India, Russia, and the United States. […]

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Why You Should Wait Before Buying the China A50 Index

China is the second largest economy in the world after the United States. Its stock market has continued to improve in the past few years with many companies being listed there. The China A50 index was created by FTSE. It is an important index because it highlights the performance of the biggest Chinese companies. Some […]

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US Open Preview – Pound gains on upbeat British wages before EU summit

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: Growth in British average earnings (excluding bonuses) in August came in stronger than expected at 3.1% y/y versus forecasts of 2.9%, helping pound/dollar to rally as high as 1.3227 early in the European session before slipping back to 1.3219 (+0.51%). Employment declined, though, by 5k missing forecasts of a 11k rise and the […]

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Bitcoin analysis for October 16, 2018

Trading recommendations: According to the H4 time – frame, I found that Bitcoin is in short-term balance. The high of the balance is set at the price of $6.710 and the low of the balance is set at the price of $6.163. Most recently, I have found that successful rejection of the support at $6.313, […]

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GBP/USD analysis for October 16, 2018

Recently, the GBP/USD pair has been trading upwards. As I expected, the price tested the level of 1.3207. According to the H1 time – frame, I found the end of the downward correction (regular flat type 2), which is a sign that selling looks risky. My advice is to watch for buying opportunities. The upward […]

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Analysis of Gold for October 16, 2018

Recently, Gold has been trading upwards. As I expected, the price tested the level of $1,232.00. According to the H4 time – frame, I found the end of the 30-day downward correction (abc flat) in the background, which is a sign that buyers are in control. Most recently, I have found a potential end of […]

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UK inflation and retail sales expected to ease in September; could weigh on pound amid Brexit stalemate – Forex News Preview

After Tuesday’s solid jobs numbers, UK economic releases will continue with inflation data on Wednesday and retail sales figures on Thursday. With all eyes this week locked on the Brexit talks, the data may not attract the usual amount of attention. However, with both inflation and retail sales forecast to moderate in September, the data […]

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Technical analysis of GBP/USD for October 16, 2018

The GBP/USD pair continues to move upwards from the level of 1.3170. Today, the first support level is currently seen at 1.3170, the price is moving in a bullish channel now. Furthermore, the price has been set above the strong support at the level of 1.3055, which coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. This […]

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Technical analysis of USD/CAD for October 16, 2018

Overview: Pivot: 1.3003 The USD/CAD pair has broken resistance at the level of 1.3003, which acts as support now. So, the pair has already formed a minor support at 1.3003. The strong support is seen at the level of 1.3003, because it represents the weekly pivot. In the H1 time frame, the RSI and the […]

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Technical analysis of Gold for October 16, 2018

Gold price made a higher high yesterday closer to our target area of $1,240. Price has reached the equality target relative to the first leg up from August lows, but as long as we hold above $1,200 I will be expecting a move to higher highs. Red lines – trading range Green lines – long-term […]

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Technical analysis of EUR/USD for October 16, 2018

EUR/USD is in a short-term bullish trend. Price is now challenging short-term resistance at 1.16-1.1610. Breaking above it will open the way for a move towards 1.1670-1.1740. A rejection at current levels will push prices back towards 1.15 at least. Blue lines – pitchfork Green line – RSI support EUR/USD has made an important low […]

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Technical Analysis – WTI crude futures touch rising trend line; outlook remains bullish

WTI crude oil futures tumbled lower over the last couple of sessions, reaching again the short-term ascending trend line in the 4-hour chart. Also, oil prices dropped below the 20-simple moving average (SMA), while the technical indicators are confirming the recent negative structure in the near-term. The RSI indicator is pointing south in the negative zone […]

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Technical Analysis – BTCUSD escapes two-month lows; looks positive to neutral in short-term

After a deep fall towards the two-month low of 6029.42 last Thursday, BTCUSD managed to show a recovery only on Monday, posting a spectacular rally to climb as high as 6717, the highest since September 28. The market could see further improvement as the RSI fluctuates in bullish territory above 50 and the MACD strengthens to the upside and […]

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Trading plan for 16/10/2018

NZD supported a better than expected CPI reading, though not for long. CPI inflation from New Zealand in the third quarter increased to 0.9% q / q from 0.4% a period earlier and against the forecast of 0.7% Weakening of NZD and higher oil prices conquered inflation, but these are temporary factors that the NSA […]

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Global macro overview for 16/10/2018

More and more is being said recently about the Brexit agreement. Last week, the president of the European Central Bank (ECB) pointed out that the uncertainty caused by Brexit could potentially pose a greater threat to financial stability. Meanwhile, a spokesman for the British Prime Minister suggested that there was a tangible progress in talks […]

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Global macro overview for 16/10/2018

According to the deputy director of the International Monetary Fund, Tao Zhang, if global supply chains are forced to adapt as a result of continuous trade tensions between the US and China, next year it may cost the global economy around 1% of GDP. According to Zhang, there are no beneficiaries in the trade war. […]

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Bitcoin analysis for 16/10/2018

Yesterday, global crypto investors have witnessed high fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market for the last weeks, where we have seen clear increases. Violent movements were triggered by Tether (USDT), which was peged 1: 1 against the dollar, then lost its dollar peg and is already traded well below the historical range of transactions. Although the […]

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Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY for October, 2018

EUR/JPY has seen a low at 129.12 and we are now looking for a break above minor resistance at 129.80 and more importantly a break above short-term important resistance at 130.51. It will confirm that blue wave (2) has completed and blue wave (3) towards 138.10 is developing. Support is now seen at 129.34 and […]

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Technical analysis: Intraday levels for EUR/USD, Oct 16, 2018

When the European market opens, some economic data will be released such as Italian Trade Balance, German ZEW Economic Sentiment, ZEW Economic Sentiment, Trade Balance, Treasury Currency Report, and German Import Prices m/m. On the USD side, the US will release a series of economic reports such as NAHB Housing Market Index, JOLTS Job Openings, […]

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European Open Preview – Dollar drifts lower; UK jobs data in focus

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: The dollar index was fractionally higher early on Tuesday (+0.06%), attempting to recover some of the losses it posted in the previous session. Meanwhile, the yen is losing ground across the board, as a rebound in risk appetite seems to be diverting funds out of the safe-haven […]

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Technical analysis: Intraday levels for USD/JPY, Oct 16, 2018

In Asia, today Japan will not release any economic data. On the USD side, the US will release a series of economic data such as NAHB Housing Market Index, JOLTS Job Openings, Industrial Production m/m, and Capacity Utilization Rate. So, there is a probability the USD/JPY pair will move with low to medium volatility during […]

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Global macro overview for 15/10/2018

Today at 01:30pom GMT the markets got to know the only important macroeconomic publication scheduled for today. Of course, we are talking about the latest March retail sales in the United States. According to information provided by the American Census Bureau, the value of the basic retail sales on the monthly basis decreased -0.1% (forecast […]

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Global macro overview for 15/10/2018

The EU summit this week was supposed to be a turning point on the road to Brexit, because it was about reaching a preliminary agreement that important matters would be settled by November. However, the information from the weekend suggests that we are closer to breaks than conversations. According to the press, the EU counted […]

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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD closes downside gap; neutral-to-bullish in short term

GBPUSD managed to close Monday’s downside opening gap, rallying back above the 1.3100 handle. The MACD has flattened slightly above its red signal line and in positive territory, while the RSI has somewhat improved but continues to hold near its 50-neutral mark, both suggesting a neutral-to-positive bias in the short-term. Trend signals are also positive […]

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October 16th 2018: US Dollar Recovers Retail Slump

Morning Report: 07.00 London The US dollar is recovering after core retail sales came in well below estimates yesterday. Dollar pairs are on the back foot, but so far yesterday’s gains are holding. The AUD/USD is on the back foot, while the NZD/USD out-performs. The EUR/USD and GBP/USD are both on the back foot, but […]

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