Technical Analysis – US 30 stock index bullish correction in progress; medium term bias remains negative

The US 30 stock index managed to test the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level (23,645) of the downward move from 26,960 to 21,596 today after a buoyant rally last Friday. Technical indicators are suggesting more gains in the short term, with the MACD jumping above its trigger line in negative territory and the RSI approaching its 50 neutral level, though with weaker momentum. […]

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Eurozone economic sentiment index to mark a negative year – Forex News Preview

The European Commission is publishing its final Business and Consumer Survey for 2018 on Tuesday at 1000 GMT. While the numbers stood at 18-year highs at the end 2017, creating euphoria that the uptrend would continue in the near future, the confidence indicators moved to the downside during 2018 and are now forecasted to finish the year even […]

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Technical Analysis – Gold stands above mid-level of Bollinger Band; next target 7-month high

Gold has rebounded on the 1276.56 support level in the preceding week after the downfall from the almost seven-month high of 1298.47. The rally brought the price above the 20- and 40-simple moving averages (SMAs) in the 4-hour chart, endorsing the outlook to a strongly positive one. Technically, the RSI indicator is sloping marginally down while […]

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Australian and New Zealand dollars are rising on a wave of risk appetite

On Monday, the Australian and New Zealand dollars kept close to the weekly highs, as risky assets came back in demand amid expectations that politicians around the world would take action to support economic growth. Immediately, three events on Friday gave support to risky currencies. First, Beijing announced a new round of trade negotiations with […]

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EUR / USD: Political clinch in Washington and US-China negotiations

China and the United States began official negotiations this morning to resolve the trade conflict. Over the past month, the parties exchanged telephone consultations, and now they have met with their own eyes as the American delegation flew to Beijing for this purpose. The meeting takes place at a fairly “high” level, thus, its results […]

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Jan 7th 2019: Dollar Retreats Further on Trade Deal Hopes

Morning Report: 07.00 London The dollar index is pulling back further this morning, testing the December lows as traders shun the need for safe havens amid hope of a trade deal between the US and China. Dollar pairs are higher, led by the AUD/USD which has recovered from the New Year flash crash to trade […]

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Crude Oil Price Declines in First Trading Day of the Year

In 2018, the price of crude oil had an interesting year. After rising steadily to the highest levels in three years, the price started crumbling in early October. This happened after the United States offered a number of countries waivers to continue doing business with Iran. Initially, investors expected the withdrawal of Iran to lead […]

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A Quick Look at the Evolution of Cryptocurrencies as Bitcoin Turns 10

In most countries, regulators exist to act as a watchdog for the consumers. In the United States, the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) role is to ensure that investors are well-protected from rogue companies. There are other regulators such as the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) and Commodities Futures Trade Commission (CFCTC). At a micro level, the […]

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Why Weaker Dollar & Low Crude Oil Could Push EM Higher

Emerging markets are countries that have demonstrated significant growth in the past few decades. In the past few years, these countries have become the focus of investors because they expect them to continue overperforming. In the past, terms like BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) have been coined to illustrate the best-performing EM […]

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Gold 2019: 3 Charts Prised from 2018’s Cold, Dead Hands

Doom, gloom and risks ahead…   “GLOOMY gold pundit forecasts chaos, says you must buy gold today!”   Hardly a headline worth reading, I know, writes Adrian Ash at BullionVault in the third and final part of this festive series.   But next year could well bring several things to the boil…   …from the […]

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European Open Preview – Dollar down, stocks up on Powell’s flexible policy; China boosts liquidity

US Jobs report impress, Powell backs flexible policy China cuts reserve requirements amid slowing economic activity Loonie jumps to 3-week highs Nonfarm payrolls impress but Powell sounds cautious; China takes further monetary easing steps The US Jobs report beat expectations on Friday, brushing away fears of a cooling labour market and a slowing economy. Nonfarm payrolls jumped by 312k […]

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Gold Price 2019: 5 Analyst Outlooks

What do bullion experts forecast for next year…?   SPARE a thought this Christmas for the poor bullion-market analyst, writes Adrian Ash at BullionVault, picking up where he left off last week.   Slaving all year over spreadsheets of Shanghai gold premiums, ETF flows and Comex positioning, for them the season of goodwill brings a […]

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Technical Analysis – EURUSD challenges descending trend line; bulls may take control

EURUSD is challenging the long-term descending trend line, creating positive movement in the narrow range. The price has been developing within a consolidation area over the last three months with the 1.1480 resistance level as the upper boundary and the 1.1265 support barrier as the lower boundary. If the price jumps above the diagonal line, it would change the […]

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‘Patient’ Powell Sees Gold Price Gain vs. Dollar, GLD Regains July Size

GOLD PRICES rose Monday against a declining Dollar following US Federal Reserve chief Jerome Powell’s promise to be “patient” before making any 2019 hikes to interest rates, writes Atsuko Whitehouse at BullionVault.   Spot gold prices peaked 0.7% above Friday’s closing level, touching $1295 per ounce but holding dead-flat for UK and Eurozone investors at […]

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Jan 4th 2019: Markets Recover Following Yen Flash Crash

Morning Report: 07.00 London Yen pairs are stabilising this morning following the flash crash overnight on Wednesday. Talk of Chinese economic interventions have also helped calm regional currencies. The USD/JPY is rallying for the second day, but remains well below 2019’s dramatic plunge. The AUD/JPY rallied well yesterday, climbing to erase half of the flash […]

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Jan 3rd 2019: Apple Sales Spook Market

Morning Report: 07.00 London Markets are still reeling after Apple’s shock earning’s warning which turned the focus to a softening Chinese economy. Slow iPhone sales in China have combined with worse than expected China Manufacturing PMI to drive markets into the safe havens of the yen and dollar. The USD/JPY is now down by over […]

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Jan 2nd 2019: Yen Picks up mantle

Morning Report: 07.00 London The US dollar remains under pressure, posting its third straight day of declines as pressure mounts on the Fed to ease its hawkish stance. Dollar pairs are mixed, with the GBP/USD recovering after gapping lower at the open following Monday’s unexpected advance above 1.2800. The AUD/USD reached a three year low […]

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Dec 31st 2018: Dollar Dips But Closes Near Highs

Morning Report: 07.00 London As we enter the final trading day of 2018, the dollar is slipping back, but remains firmly in the driving seat of currency moves. The big driver in the short term is the Japanese yen, with the USD/JPY dropping below the 110.50 support level after Friday’s plunge. The EUR/JPY also remains […]

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European Open Preview – Trade hopes remove some risk-off ahead of NFP report

Japanese stocks close in the red on global growth fears in their first trading day of 2019 US Nonfarm payrolls and Powell’s remarks to affect bearish sentiment Euro and pound recover with caution Loonie hits two-week highs as oil prices surge Japanese stocks join harsh sell-off, yen down on trade news Japan’s stock market returned […]

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Technical Analysis – GBPJPY surpasses 23.6% Fibonacci, continuing bullish correction

GBPJPY is seeing a pause in the selling pressure after reaching a more than two-year low around 132.48 on Thursday, with the MACD hinting a continuation of the rebound, fluctuating above trigger line in the 4-hour chart. However, the RSI indicator is sloping down in the negative territory, despite the latest upside pullback in the market. Further […]

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Why 2019 Could Be an Inflection Point for the ECB

As the Federal Reserve toys with slowing down the pace of rate hikes, attention will now shift to other central banks. Among them, the European Central Bank (ECB) will be watched closely. This is because after the Fed, it is the most powerful central bank in the world. It also controls the second-most used currency […]

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Recession Risks Increases?

In the past two months, the amount of volatility in the financial market has increased significantly. The VIX index which measures the amount of volatility in the market has increased to more than 20. These are the highest levels since early this year. Even without the index, the daily movements in the markets have become […]

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Fundamental Analysis of EUR/USD for January 7, 2019

EUR/USD has been residing inside the corrective and volatile range between 1.1200 to 1.1500 area for a few weeks. EURO managed to gain momentum having better economic results published today while USD struggling with the mixed Employment reports published recently. EUR having series of worse economic reports published recently lead to losing certain grounds against […]

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Gold Falls $15 from $1300 on Strong US Jobs Data, India Demand to Buy ‘Negligible’

BUY GOLD prices in London’s wholesale market fell $15 from nearly touching $1300 per ounce Friday after new data showed much stronger-than-expected US jobs growth at the end of 2018.   Trading down to $1284, gold priced in Dollars still headed for a 0.5% weekly rise, its third consecutive such rise – and the longest […]

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New Year 2019 Gold Price Surge ‘Astonishing’ as GLD Expands Fastest in 16 Months

GOLD PRICES rose yet again in all major currencies bar the Japanese Yen on Thursday, extending New Year 2019’s gains to new all-time record highs against the Australian Dollar as Asian trading saw fresh turmoil in currency and equity markets.   The UK gold price in Pounds per ounce touched £1032 when Asian trade began, […]

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Bitcoin is approaching the final stage of a bear market

Since December 17, within four days, the Bitcoin price recovered from $3,181 to $4,073 by 28 percent on most major fiat-to-crypto exchanges. But, on a 30-day basis, the value of the dominant cryptocurrency still remains down about nine percent from $4,400 and still has to surpass resistance levels above the $4,400 mark to confirm a […]

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