Friday 14-07-2017 Lookback
July 14, 2017 6:13 amVideo
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Welcome to the easyMarkets weekly review where we look back over the results of some of the previous week’s economic indicators. It gives us the chance to reflect on how much expectations were met or missed and to examine a successful trade you could have made this week.
The Bank of England’s deputy Governor, Broadbent, spoke on Tuesday and failed to give any confidence to the markets in relation to an interest rate hike to offset growing inflation in the economy. The Pound fell on the lack of support for a rate rise after Broadbent’s speech to $1.2846 against the USD and to €1.1231 against the euro.
The UK ILO Unemployment rate for the 3 months to May came in at 4.5%, just a fraction off the expected 4.6% figure seen in previous months. Unemployment remains at a 42 year low for Great Britain and the sterling reacted positively to the better than expected figure rising 0.29% against the US dollar to 1.2891. The labour market in the UK hasn’t been this healthy since 1975. On the negative side, average hourly earnings increased only 1.8% year-on-year, which is below the current inflation rate.
The Bank of Canada took the decision on Wednesday to increase the interest rate from 0.5% to 0.75%. A move that didn’t take the markets by a big surprise but it did see the CAD increase against key trading partners. After 7 years of easy monetary policy the central bank has, like their North American neighbours, started to tighten the reins. The loonie increased by a full dollar to $79 on the news and with more increases hinted for the future, CAD bulls are sharpening their horns.
Consumer Confidence in Australia for July came in at 0.4% which was a vast improvement on June’s -1.8% reading. The Aussie dollar increased somewhat on the back of the news but as the overall index sits at 96.6, consumers are still not convinced that the economy is back on an even footing. Rising house prices and debt are keeping the interest rates at record lows and that’s unlikely to change this year. Exports are faring much better as commodity prices are on the up.
If you had sold USD/CAD with a $500 margin at the price of 1.29319 and closed the deal once after the BoC Interest Rate Decision on Wednesday at 14:00 GMT which saw the currency pair drop 1.99%, you might have made $1,994. Note this example does not take into account spread.
https://www.fxstreet.com/economic-calendar
http://www.rbnz.govt.nz/monetary-policy/official-cash-rate-decisions
https://www.rba.gov.au/monetary-policy/rba-board-minutes/
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Source: Easy Forex Forex.Info
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