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Weekend Review: No Breakthrough as US Government Shutdown Continues
January 21, 2019 8:41 amVideo
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On Friday, Canada released the
consumer prices data that beat the consensus estimates. The numbers showed that
in December, the CPI increased by an annualized rate of 2.0%, which was higher
than the consensus estimate of 1.7%. This was a positive indication for the Canadian
economy that is facing a number of challenges, including the falling house
prices. The number was also along the Bank of Canada’s target of 2.0%, which
increases the likelihood that the bank could raise interest rates in the near
term.
The US government shutdown
continued over the weekend as differences between the White House and congress
increased. In a bid to ease the tensions, Donald Trump made some concessions
that would allow the government to be opened. He offered to extend the
protections of the ‘dreamers’ by three years, a measure that was rejected as a
non-starter by the democrats. All this shows that the shutdown could continue
for an extended period of time. On Friday, data showed that consumer confidence
had slowed to 90.7 from the previous 97 while the Michigan current expectations
reduced to 110.
Over the weekend, it was
announced that Donald Trump will hold a follow-up meeting with his North Korean
counterpart in Vietnam. This will be the second time that the two leaders have
met to discuss the issue of the denuclearization of the Korean peninsula. This
meeting comes after the first meeting, which happened in Singapore. There is
some criticism about the need for the second meeting since the first one did
not achieve much. In response to the news, the Japanese yen strengthen slightly
after the market open.
Data released early today
confirmed the notion that the Chinese economy is slowing. The first reading of
the Chinese Q4 growth showed that the country’s economy expanded by 6.4%, which
was lower than the previous quarter’s 6.5%. This was the slowest rate of growth
in more than ten years. Recently, analysts have been warning that the previous
growth trajectory of the Chinese economy was not achievable. This is because
the country is transitioning from the previous strategy of capital spending. On
a positive note, the country’s industrial production rose by an annualized rate
of 5.7%, which was higher than the estimated 5.3% while retail sales increased
by 8.2%. The unemployment rate was at 4.9%, which was higher than the previous
4.8%. In recent weeks, the government has announced a number of measures to
boost growth including the reducing of VAT, personal income tax cuts, and a
large-scale reduction of taxes.
In France, the yellow vest protests
continued this weekend, causing a major headache for the young president. Last
week, the president went on the offensive, by having roundtable discussions
with the people from around the country. He also announced that he would not
attend the World Economic Forum, an annual jamboree that does not achieve much
for the global community. These protests are mostly because of the income
inequality in the second-largest EU country.
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