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24/09/2009 - How a Kid With a Ruler Can Make a Million


The following article is adapted from a brand-new 50-page ebook from Elliott Wave International. Learn more about The Ultimate Technical Analysis Handbook, and download your free copy here.

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Publishing Date

A Lesson in Drawing and Using Trendlines
September 24, 2009

By Jeffrey Kennedy

About The Author

Jeffrey Kennedy is the Chief Commodity Analyst at Elliott Wave International (EWI). With more than 15 years of experience as a technical analyst, he writes and edits Futures Junctures, EWI's premier commodity forecasting service. 

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When I began my career as an analyst, I was lucky enough to have some time with a few old pros.

One in particular that I will always remember told me that a kid with a ruler could make a million dollars in the markets. He was talking about trendlines. I was sold.

I spent nearly three years drawing trendlines and all sorts of geometric shapes on price charts. And you know, that grizzled old trader was only half right.

Trendlines are one the most simple and dynamic tools an analyst can employ... but I have yet to make my million dollars, so he was wrong -- or at least early -- on that point.

Despite being extremely useful, trendlines are often overlooked. I guess it’s just human nature to discard the simple in favor of the complicated.

(Heaven knows, if they don’t understand it, it must work, right?)

Soybeans May Contract

In the chart above, I have drawn a trendline using two lows that occurred in early August and September of 2003.

As you can see, each time prices approached this line, they reversed course and advanced.

Sometimes, soybeans only fell to near this line before turning up.

Other times, prices broke through momentarily before resuming the larger uptrend.

What still amazes me is that two seemingly insignificant lows in 2002 pointed the direction of soybeans -- and identified several potential buying opportunities -- for the next six months!

Get more lessons like the one above in the free 50-page Ultimate Technical Analysis Handbook. Learn more and download your free copy here.

Charts Updated

Some charts were no longer displaying correctly, this issue is now fixed [ more ]

Charts Updated

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11/01/2010 - Why You Should Care About DJIA Priced in Go

The following article is provided courtesy of Elliott Wave International (EWI). For more insights that challenge conventional financial wisdom, download [ more ]

11/01/2010 - Why You Should Care About DJIA Priced in Gold

If You Think the Past Decade Was Bad For Stocks, Wait Ti

A well-known business magazine recently published a story with this headline: Stocks: The "Loss" Decade [ more ]

If You Think the Past Decade Was Bad For Stocks, Wait Till You See This

The FDIC Anesthesia Is Wearing Off

The following article is an excerpt from Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave Theorist. For more information from Robert Prechter on bank safety, download [ more ]

The FDIC Anesthesia Is Wearing Off

13/11/2009 - If Stocks Tank, Shouldn't Gold Soar?

The following article is provided courtesy of Elliott Wave International (EWI). For more insights that challenge conventional financial wisdom, download EWI& [ more ]

13/11/2009 - If Stocks Tank, Shouldn't Gold Soar?

02/09/2009 - How IRAs Can Tie Investors Hands and What T

Editor's Note: The following article discusses Robert Prechter's view of investment vehicles and government-regulated plans. For more analysis from Robert [ more ]

02/09/2009 - How IRAs Can Tie Investors Hands and What To Do About It

04/09/2009 - Prechter Stands Alone Again... He's Done th

So Bob Prechter is bearish again. That may be no surprise to some, but recall that Prechter was about the only bull on February 23 of this year when he [ more ]

04/09/2009 - Prechter Stands Alone Again... He's Done the Math

29/10/2009 - Black Monday: Ancient History Or Imminent F

The following article includes analysis from Robert Prechter’s Elliott Wave Theorist. For more insights from Robert Prechter, download the 75- [ more ]

29/10/2009 - Black Monday: Ancient History Or Imminent Future?

22/10/2009 - Earnings: Is That REALLY What's Driving The

It's corporate earnings season again, and everywhere you turn, analysts talk about the influence of earnings on the broad stock market:  [ more ]

22/10/2009 - Earnings: Is That REALLY What's Driving The DJIA Higher?

Gold: What's REALLY Behind the Record Rise, Bull or Bubb

When prices in a financial market go from Sea Level to Outer Space in a relatively brief time, two scenarios are at work -- and they both start with the lett [ more ]

Gold: What's REALLY Behind the Record Rise, Bull or Bubble?

14/10/09 - How to Prepare for the Coming Crash and Prese

Bob Prechter first released Conquer the Crash: You Can Survive and Prosper in a Deflationary Depression during a stock-market high in 2002, and it q [ more ]

14/10/09 - How to Prepare for the Coming Crash and Preserve Your Wealth

09/10/2009 - Death of the Dollar, Again: Before You Mour

The following article is based on analysis from Robert Prechter’s Elliott Wave Theorist. For more insights from Robert Prechter, download the [ more ]

09/10/2009 - Death of the Dollar, Again: Before You Mourn, See This Chart

Q&A With Robert Prechter: Why Technical Analysis Beats O

As the major stock markets turned down in late 2007 and then started to rally in March 2009, many people who believed in fundamental analysis have begun [ more ]

Q&A With Robert Prechter: Why Technical Analysis Beats Out Fundamental Analysis

08/09/2009 - How A Bear Can Be Bullish And Still Be Righ

In recent months, Elliott Wave International President [ more ]

08/09/2009 - How A Bear Can Be Bullish And Still Be Right

15/09/2009 - Prechters Tips on Trading Successfully

Take it from the person who won the United States Trading Championship with profits of more than 440% in 1984 – there are five things that every successful tra [ more ]

15/09/2009 - Prechters Tips on Trading Successfully

17/09/2009 - Germany's DAX: FREE Insight Into Europe's L

It's one of the first rules in the book of mainstream economic wisdom: a country's economy is the thermometer which "reads" its stock market's temperature. If fi [ more ]

17/09/2009 - Germany's DAX: FREE Insight Into Europe's Leading Economy

24/09/2009 - How a Kid With a Ruler Can Make a Million

The following article is adapted from a brand-new 50-page ebook from Elliott Wave International. [ more ]

24/09/2009 -  How a Kid With a Ruler Can Make a Million

3 Questions The Government Doesn’t Want You To Ask Abo

Bob Prechter, President of Elliott Wave International (EWI), is no stranger to challenging the status quo. His New York Times bestseller, Conquer the Crash, [ more ]

3 Questions The Government Doesn’t Want You To Ask About the Financial Crisis

Gold, the Dow, T-Notes: Which Does Best During Recession

Each year, the NCAA college basketball tournament winnows its starting field of 64 teams to the Final Four teams who play for a chance to become the national champio [ more ]

Gold, the Dow, T-Notes: Which Does Best During Recessions?

How To Recognize a Financial Mania When You're Smack Dab

When you're caught in the middle of a bad storm, you don't really care whether it's a tropical depression or a full-strength hurricane. You just know you're hanging [ more ]

How To Recognize a Financial Mania When You're Smack Dab in the Middle of One

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Charts Updated

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Trade financial markets with fixed odds betting, and get a £20 Free Bet to try! (Click on Banner to go to BetonMarkets.com) [ more ]

Merry Christmas

08/09/2011 - Bull Market In Gold Over With Double Top?

A few weeks ago I penned a public article and private forecast for my subscribers calling for a major correction in Gold being due. 72 hours after my forecast, Gold [ more ]

08/09/2011 - Bull Market In Gold Over With Double Top?

Beta 2 Forex News, Jovi Overo, Beta 2 Ltd, Thursday Sept

By Jovi Overo 08 Sep 2011 An attitude of dovishness has gained traction among central banks in Europe this week and investors are worried that a continuation of low ra [ more ]

Beta 2 Forex News, Jovi Overo, Beta 2 Ltd, Thursday September 8 2011

01/09/2011 - Those Steely-Eyes of J.P. Morgan: Could The

If "legendary Wall Street figure" ever described anyone, it was turn-of-the-last-century financier J.P. Morgan. You can throw in "bigger than life&quo [ more ]

01/09/2011 - Those Steely-Eyes of J.P. Morgan: Could They Help Us Today?

27/08/2011 - Behind Closed Doors at the Fed: Ten Years o

During the past few years, The Federal Reserve has engaged in a "deliberate inflating policy." This policy [ more ]

27/08/2011 - Behind Closed Doors at the Fed: Ten Years of Research into America's Central Bank

29/08/2011 - What Could Lie Ahead for the S&P 500 &

Now that Mr. Bernanke’s speech is old news, what was the financial media thinking exactly? A significant number of financial writers have been anticipating discuss [ more ]

29/08/2011 - What Could Lie Ahead for the S&P 500 & Gold

22/08/2011 - Gold - Is It the Only Safe Haven Investment

With the economy so sour right now, investors seem to be selling out of the market and looking for other areas which have a safe haven status right now. Gold has been a [ more ]

22/08/2011 - Gold - Is It the Only Safe Haven Investment Left

22/08/2011 - Gold & Stocks Are About To Move in Opposite

The past few weeks traders and investors have been completely spooked from the surge of negative news and collapsing stock prices. This fear can be seen by looking at t [ more ]

22/08/2011 - Gold & Stocks Are About To Move in Opposite Directions Get Ready!

22/08/2011 - Successful Investing Starts With Research

Since 2008, the world has faced serious problems. The credit crisis, debt crisis and the U.S. economy right now are all playing havoc with the livelihoods if of America [ more ]

22/08/2011 - Successful Investing Starts With Research

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Charts Updated

Some charts were no longer displaying correctly, this issue is now fixed [ more ]

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Merry Christmas

Trade financial markets with fixed odds betting, and get a £20 Free Bet to try! (Click on Banner to go to BetonMarkets.com) [ more ]

Merry Christmas

08/09/2011 - Bull Market In Gold Over With Double Top?

A few weeks ago I penned a public article and private forecast for my subscribers calling for a major correction in Gold being due. 72 hours after my forecast, Gold [ more ]

08/09/2011 - Bull Market In Gold Over With Double Top?

Beta 2 Forex News, Jovi Overo, Beta 2 Ltd, Thursday Sept

By Jovi Overo 08 Sep 2011 An attitude of dovishness has gained traction among central banks in Europe this week and investors are worried that a continuation of low ra [ more ]

Beta 2 Forex News, Jovi Overo, Beta 2 Ltd, Thursday September 8 2011

01/09/2011 - Those Steely-Eyes of J.P. Morgan: Could The

If "legendary Wall Street figure" ever described anyone, it was turn-of-the-last-century financier J.P. Morgan. You can throw in "bigger than life&quo [ more ]

01/09/2011 - Those Steely-Eyes of J.P. Morgan: Could They Help Us Today?

27/08/2011 - Behind Closed Doors at the Fed: Ten Years o

During the past few years, The Federal Reserve has engaged in a "deliberate inflating policy." This policy [ more ]

27/08/2011 - Behind Closed Doors at the Fed: Ten Years of Research into America's Central Bank

29/08/2011 - What Could Lie Ahead for the S&P 500 &

Now that Mr. Bernanke’s speech is old news, what was the financial media thinking exactly? A significant number of financial writers have been anticipating discuss [ more ]

29/08/2011 - What Could Lie Ahead for the S&P 500 & Gold

22/08/2011 - Gold - Is It the Only Safe Haven Investment

With the economy so sour right now, investors seem to be selling out of the market and looking for other areas which have a safe haven status right now. Gold has been a [ more ]

22/08/2011 - Gold - Is It the Only Safe Haven Investment Left

22/08/2011 - Gold & Stocks Are About To Move in Opposite

The past few weeks traders and investors have been completely spooked from the surge of negative news and collapsing stock prices. This fear can be seen by looking at t [ more ]

22/08/2011 - Gold & Stocks Are About To Move in Opposite Directions Get Ready!

22/08/2011 - Successful Investing Starts With Research

Since 2008, the world has faced serious problems. The credit crisis, debt crisis and the U.S. economy right now are all playing havoc with the livelihoods if of America [ more ]

22/08/2011 - Successful Investing Starts With Research

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