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25/02/2010 - More Credit Default Swaps Means Trouble for European Debt

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Government debt is no longer just a problem for emerging countries. Portugal, Spain, France and Greece (as we have seen in recent weeks) are living in fear of credit default. Consequently, the value of their credit default swaps is skyrocketing.

The following is an excerpt from the February issue of Global Market Perspective. For a limited time, you can visit Elliott Wave International to download the rest of the 100+ page issue free.

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Publishing Date

February 25, 2010

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Elliott Wave International (EWI) is the world’s largest market forecasting firm. EWI’s 20-plus analysts provide around-the-clock forecasts of every major market in the world via the internet and proprietary web systems like Reuters and Bloomberg. EWI’s educational services include conferences, workshops, webinars, video tapes, special reports, books and one of the internet’s richest free content programs, Club EWI.

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High levels of global debt are both financially debilitating and deflationary because they commit scarce cash to servicing interest payments. Up until now, most sovereign credit defaults occurred in emerging-market countries, such as Argentina and Russia. The deflationary tide, however, is starting to lap up against more developed Eurozone economies.
The chart shows the value of credit default swaps -- an instrument similar to an insurance contract that pays holders (if they are lucky) in the event of default -- for Greece, Portugal, Spain and France. In recent weeks these contracts have soared, with credit-default swaps on Greece’s and Portugal’s debt already surpassing the January-March 2009 extremes established in the latter part of Primary degree 1 down.

Obviously, the market is growing more skeptical that Greece can pay its debts, so the cost of protecting against default is rising fast. Greece’s budget deficit is 12.7% of gross domestic product, and Portugal faces a budget shortfall that’s more than twice the European Union’s limit. Traders are now buying default protection on sovereign debt at a rate of more than five times that of specific company bonds. “Greece’s neighbors would ‘step in’ to prevent a debt default to avoid ‘a problem for the whole of Europe,’” a Tokyo-based bondsalesman says. Maybe so, but who will step in to bail out Portugal, Spain, the next sovereign default or the one thereafter?
The world is running out of money to service its mounting debts, and this chart simply depicts the front edge of the next great wave of credit contraction, which will sweep into more established countries throughout Europe and eventually to the United States.

Read the rest of this issue now free! You'll get 100+ pages of insights about:

World Stock Markets
Global Interest Rates
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Visit Elliott Wave International to download your free 100+ page issue.

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Trade financial markets with fixed odds betting, and get a £20 Free Bet to try! (Click on Banner to go to BetonMarkets.com) [ more ]

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22/08/2011 - Gold - Is It the Only Safe Haven Investment

With the economy so sour right now, investors seem to be selling out of the market and looking for other areas which have a safe haven status right now. Gold has been a [ more ]

22/08/2011 - Gold & Stocks Are About To Move in Opposite

The past few weeks traders and investors have been completely spooked from the surge of negative news and collapsing stock prices. This fear can be seen by looking at t [ more ]

22/08/2011 - Successful Investing Starts With Research

Since 2008, the world has faced serious problems. The credit crisis, debt crisis and the U.S. economy right now are all playing havoc with the livelihoods if of America [ more ]

Free Live Charts, Daily Data, Articles and Trading Resources For World Financial Markets

Live charts for major trading instruments updating from 10seconds to 1 week period!

You can check world indices in these volatile financial times here.

welcome to the best source of free market information. T [ more ]

iShares MSCI Belgium Index Fund

iShares MSCI Belgium Index Fund is traded on the American Stock Exchange. The information on this page is for information only and is delayed publication data on this share, none of the information on this page is intended as investment advice of any kind. [ more ]

DAX Live Chart / Dax Real zeit diagramm

The DAX (Deutscher Aktien IndeX, formerly Deutscher Aktien-Index (German stock index)) is a blue chip stock market index consisting of the 30 major German companies trading [ more ]

Dow Jones Live Chart

The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) index, which reflects the movement of the world's first stock market. It is composed of the 32 most traded stocks of the NYSE. Currently there are three more [ more ]

UK Shares Live Charts

Live charts for popular UK FTSE shares including Barclays, Lloyds TSB, BP, Supermarkets. Soon historical data for all london shares! [ more ]

HSBC Bank Live Chart

Headquartered in London, HSBC is one of the largest banking and financial services organisations in the world. HSBC's international network comprises around 8,500 offices in 86 countries and te [ more ]

FTSE 100 Live Chart (FTSE 100 Price Quote)

FREE Live FTSE 100 Chart. The FTSE 100 share index is a stock market index made up of the 100 largest UK registered companies in terms of their market capitalisation. Free FTSE 100 live price char [ more ]

BEI-96/16 ZC

BEI-96/16 ZC is traded on the London Stock Exchange. The information on this page is for information only and is delayed publication data on this share, none of the information on this page is intended as investment advice of any kind. [ more ]