+500

  • NZD/USD Hovers Around Major Support Prior to US Healthcare Vote

    NZD/USD has retraced substantially since March 21st, as it was nearing the short-term major resistance level at 0.7100. This morning, the bearish momentum was held above the significant psychological support line at 0.7000, where the 10 SMA converges (on the daily chart), the support here is stronger. The 4-hourly Stochastic Oscillator is around 20, suggesting […]

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  • Could USD/JPY Hold Above 111.00 ?

    USD/JPY hit the lowest level of 111.13 since November 23 this morning, breaking the short term major support line at 111.50. USD/JPY has turned bearish since March 15, saw its longest bearish streak since January. In the past week, USD/JPY has retraced about 3.14%. The plunge was caused by the weakening of the dollar post […]

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  • EUR/USD Trades Below Major Resistance at 1.0800

    EURUSD has strengthened since 15th March, breaking the significant resistance level at 1.0700, as a result of the sharp fall of the dollar caused by profit-taking pressure post the Fed interest rate announcement. We saw the release of the German PPI for February (YoY) yesterday, beating expectations and the previous figure. EUR/USD is still trading […]

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  • Can GBP/USD Hold Above 1.2400 ?

    Sterling has seen its third consecutive session of gains last Friday, as a result of the weakening of the dollar and a MPC (Monetary Policy Committee) member, Kristin Forbes, voted to raise rate this month, despite Brexit uncertainty and risks on economy. GBP/USD hits a three-week high against the dollar this morning, testing the significant […]

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  • AUD/USD Trades at Significant Resistance Post a Substantial Surge

    The Fed announced a rate hike by 25 basis points yesterday, with rates in a range of 0.75% to 1%, in line with market expectations. Fed Chair Yellen stated that It is appropriate to gradually remove accommodation, as the US economy is going well. The medium projection for the federal funds rate is 1.4% to […]

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  • GBP/USD Hits 8-week Low as UK Parliament Finally Passes Brexit Bill

    The UK parliament has passed the Brexit bill. The House of Commons overturned the amendments proposed by the House of Lords that guarantees the rights of EU citizens in the UK and gives parliament a “meaningful vote” on the final Brexit deal, by 335 votes to 287. The House of Lords accepted the decision by […]

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  • EUR/USD Retreats After Hitting 1.0700

    The US labour market data for February released last Friday outperformed. Contrasting with the better-than-expected labour market data, the dollar index plunged more than 70 points, hitting a one-and-a-half-week low of 101.16 after the release of the data, due to profit-taking pressure. As markets have priced in the expectations for a March rate hike since […]

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  • NZD/USD Tests Short Term Major Support Level Post Hitting a 9-Week Low

    NZD/USD hit a 9-week low of 0.6889 yesterday. This month we have seen the longest NZD/USD bearish streak for this year. The significant level at 0.7000 was broken on 6th Mar. However, the current price is testing the next short term major support level at 0.6880, where provides a stronger support. The downtrend will likely […]

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  • Crude Oil Inventories Reach a Record High, Oil Prices Hit a 14-week Low

    The US EIA Crude Oil inventories (for the week ending March 3) released yesterday jumped to a record high of an 8.209-million rise, surpassing expectations of a 1.66-million increase and the previous reading of a 1.501 increase. Oil prices plunged on the release of the figure, spot WTI crude oil price broke the short term […]

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  • GBP/USD Hits a 7-week low on Second Brexit Defeat in Lords

    Yesterday the House of Lords has voted against a second Brexit referendum, by 336 votes to 131. The House of Lords also voted on an amendment that would empower the UK Parliament to vote on the final Brexit deal which Theresa May agrees with the EU, by 366 votes to 268. That is to say, […]

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  • USD/CAD Bullish Momentum Wanes

    The Fed Chair Yellen made a speech on 3rd Mar, stating that “We currently judge that it will be appropriate to gradually increase the federal funds rate if the economic data continue to come in about as we expect.” According to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of a rate hike in March after her […]

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  • EUR/USD Breaks Above Downtrend Resistance Ahead of Yellen’s Speech

    The Fed Chair Yellen will make a speech at 18:00 GMT this evening. Five FOMC members and Fed Chairs will make a speech in turns this afternoon, we can expect that it will cause great volatility to the dollar and the dollar crosses. The Chicago Fed Chair Evans (FOMC voter), and the Richmond Fed Chair […]

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  • GBP/USD Tests Support Post Brexit Defeat in Lords

    GBP/USD hit a 6-week low of 1.2260 this morning. Last night, the House of Lords defied the Brexit bill, by 358 votes to 256, calls for ministers to amend the proposal by ensuring the rights of the 3-million EU citizens living in the UK, within three months of triggering Article 50. The UK Prime Minister […]

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  • EUR/USD Tests Near-Term Major Support Ahead of US ISM and PCE

    This morning we have seen the release of German Unemployment Change in Feb, fell by 14K, beating expectations of a 10K fall. The German unemployment rate in Feb remains at 5.9%, in line with expectations. EUR/USD has turned bearish since yesterday, as a result of the strengthening of the dollar. The current price is nearing […]

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  • Can EUR/JPY Hold Above the Uptrend Line Support ?

    We will see the release of a series of Markit PMI figures in Feb in the early European session today. German Manufacturing, Services, and Composite PMIs, at 08:30 GMT, followed by the Eurozone Manufacturing, Services, and Composite PMIs, at 09:00 GMT. EUR/JPY has seen a noticeable retracement since the beginning of Feb, breaking the two-month […]

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  • AUD/USD Bull Nears Mid-Term Major Resistance Zone

    AUD/USD has turned bullish since early January, as a result of the retracement of the dollar and the rebound of commodity prices. The Aussie has been one of the best currency performers year to date. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) announced the rates remain unchanged at a record low of 1.5% On 7th Feb, […]

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  • GBP/USD Trades Below Convergence of Two Major Resistances

    GBP/USD has rebounded since 16th January, trading above the downside short-term major uptrend line support. However, the bullish momentum has waned since early February, as a result of the strengthening of the dollar. On Tuesday 14th Feb, the uptrend line support was broken after the Fed Chair Yellen’s hawkish testimony. The support has turned into […]

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  • Yellen Hawkish Testimony Weigh on EUR/USD

    The Fed Chair Yellen made her first day of her testimony before the Congress at 15:00 GMT on Tuesday 14th Feb, which was the first testimony she did after Trump took office. She adopted a hawkish outlook, which pushed the dollar and the Treasury yields higher. She stated that waiting too long to remove accommodation […]

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  • AUDUSD Tests Uptrend Line Support after a Noticeable Retracement

    This early morning the RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) announced that the interest rates remain unchanged at record low of 1.5%, in line with expectations, as the RBA expects no further QE in other major economies. The RBA implied that in the short term there won’t be a further rate cut, the rates will likely […]

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  • GBPUSD Retreats After Hitting a Six-Week High

    Theresa May visited President Trump on Friday 27th Jan in Washington – she was the first foreign leader to visit the new US president. Trump told Theresa May that he believes Brexit will be a wonderful thing for Britain, and open the door to new trade deals. Trump has showed his support to NATO, which […]

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  • US GDP, EURUSD Up or Down ?

    We will see the release of the US Q4 GDP (QoQ annualized) at 13:30 GMT this afternoon. Despite the market consensus of 2.1% for the US Q4 GDP (QoQ). The quarter-on-quarter Q1 to Q3 US GDP final readings were 1.1%, 1.4% and 3.5%, showing a robust economic recovery. EURUSD has rebounded since the beginning of […]

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  • AUDUSD Tests Major Resistance and Support Ahead of Q4 CPI

    We will see the release of the Australian and New Zealand Q4 CPI figures (YoY and QoQ), at 02:30 and 23:45 GMT respectively, on this Wednesday 25th January. AUD/USD has turned bullish since early January, after testing the mid-term major support at 0.7150, as a result of the retracement of the dollar and the rebound […]

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  • Can Supreme Court Ruling Help GBPUSD Remain Bullish ?

    Tomorrow, Tuesday 24 January, around 09:30 GMT, the UK Supreme Court will release the Brexit lawsuit Ruling, on whether the UK Prime Minister Theresa May will need the UK parliament’s approval to invoke Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty, to leave the EU. Last Tuesday 17th January, GBPUSD surged to a one-week high of 1.2415, […]

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  • Cautious EURUSD Ahead of ECB Press Conference

    The dollar and the US government bond yields surged last night as the Fed president Janet Yellen’s speech to the Commonwealth Club in San Francisco. Yellen stated that the nation is approaching full employment, the employment rate is less than 5%, near the level before the recession. In terms of inflation, although it has remained […]

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  • GBPUSD Retreats Post Surge on Theresa May’s Hard Brexit Speech

    Trump stated on Tuesday that a strong dollar is risky to the US economy, as it weakens competitiveness of US exports and corporate profits. A senior adviser to Trump also warned that a strong dollar could make it difficult for Trump to implement his policies and revitalize the US economy. The comments drove the dollar […]

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  • Sterling Struggles Ahead of Theresa May’s Speech

    Theresa May will make a speech outline her plans for Brexit tomorrow, on Tuesday 17th Jan, before she triggers Article 50 to leave the EU. The key points of her speech including immigration control, leaving the jurisdiction of the European Court of Justice. On Sunday 15th Jan, Sunday Telegraph reported that the UK Prime Minister […]

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  • USDJPY turns Consolidation towards Downtrend?

    The strong bullish momentum of USDJPY post the US presidential election has waned since mid-December, a consolidation pattern has been formed thereafter. On 5th Jan, a long bearish candle broke the near term major support level at 116.00 on the daily time frame. On 12th Jan, the next major support line at 115.00 was further […]

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  • Dollar Turn-around on Trump’s Press Conference

    Trump’s first press conference after his victory on the US presidential election was held yesterday around at 16:00 GMT. It has cause a great volatility to the dollar and the markets. Before the start of the press conference, the dollar index surged from the support line at 102.00, testing the resistance at 103.00, reaching the […]

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  • GBPUSD Rebounds After Monday’s Weakening

    GBPUSD has rebounded after testing the short term major support line at 1.2100, where provides a strong support. GBPUSD fell more than 1% after the interview between Sky News and the UK PM Theresa May about an inevitable hard Brexit and the implication of leaving the EU single market. GBPUSD hit the lowest level of […]

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  • Time for DAX to Correct after the Dec Surge ?

    We have seen the release of a series of German economic data for Nov this morning, which were overall better than the previous figures. Trade Balance rose to 21.7 B, from 20.6 B in Oct. Current Account rose to 24.6 B, from 19.4 B in Oct. Exports (MoM) rose to 3.9%, from 0.5% in Oct. […]

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