SIF Folio: Why Iamp;rsquo;m trusting historic data + is Rank a bargain?

In my piece last week on BAE Systems, a subscriber asked whether basing my assessment of stocks on backward-looking measures was still a valid approach. With much of the world economy at a halt, it seems a fair question. For many companies – perhaps ev…

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SIF Folio: Why Iamp;rsquo;m trusting historic data + is Rank a bargain?

In my piece last week on BAE Systems, a subscriber asked whether basing my assessment of stocks on backward-looking measures was still a valid approach. With much of the world economy at a halt, it seems a fair question. For many companies – perhaps ev…

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Smart Money Indicator Verification Update [PREMIUM]

“Verification Tests of the Smart Money Indicator” performs tests of ideas and setup features described in “Smart Money Indicator for Stocks vs. Bonds”. The Smart Money Indicator (SMI) is a complicated variable that exploits diff…

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Inflation Forecast Update

The Inflation Forecast now incorporates actual total and core Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for March 2020. The actual total (core) inflation rate is lower than (lower than) forecasted.
The post Inflation Forecast Update appeared first on CXO Advisor…

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Trading the Trend – COVID chaos and five stocks on the move

This week the market appears to have gone loopy for anything mentioning Covid-19. It reminds of the Bitcoin bubble, where I bought any company that said Bitcoin or cryptocurrency in its title, without actually reading what the RNS said. Avacta stock ro…

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Weekly Summary of Research Findings: 4/6/20 – 4/9/20 [PREMIUM]

Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 4/6/20 through 4/9/20. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to your investing needs. Subscribers: To receive t…

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Stock Picking Challenge 2020: Results from a chaotic first quarter

When we launched the 2020 Stock Picking Challenge late last year, it’s fair to say that nobody was predicting the kind of drama we’ve witnessed in the first quarter. Coronavirus is causing misery for many people. And from an investment standpoint, the …

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Small Cap Value Report (Thu 9 April 2020) – ECK, OTB

Good morning, it’s Paul here with the placeholder article for Thursday morning’s readers comments. Estimated timings today – should be mostly done by 1pm, but I expect to carry on until c.3pm. Edit at 13:52 – I’m going to leave it there for today. Toda…

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Simple Volatility Harvesting? [PREMIUM]

Findings in “Add Stop-gain to Asset Class Momentum Strategy?” suggest that systematic capture of upside volatility may enhance the base strategy. Does this conclusion hold for a simpler application to a single liquid asset over a longer sam…

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Small Cap Value Report (Thu 9 April 2020) –

Good morning, it’s Paul here with the placeholder article for Thursday morning’s readers comments.Estimated timings today – should be mostly done by 1pm, but I expect to carry on until c.3pm.Lockdown – this is starting to become tiresome, but I underst…

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Small Cap Value Report (Wed 8 April 2020) – CALL, D4T4, CHH, RWA

Good morning, it’s Paul here with the SCVR for Weds. Please see the header above for the companies that I’ll be reporting on, driven as always by today’s news feed of results, and trading updates. EDIT: apologies, I forgot to put in the estimated timin…

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Small Cap Value Report (Wed 8 April 2020) –

Good morning, it’s Paul here with the SCVR for Weds.
We’re seeing the usual flow of money from companies to shareholders reverse at the moment. So dividends widely being suspended, and placings come thick amp; fast (e.g. Joules, WH Smith, Asos). My wor…

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COVID-19 and U.S. Stock Returns [PREMIUM]

What does the U.S. stock market at industry/firm levels say about investor expectations during and after the 2019 coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic? In the April 2020 update of their paper entitled “Feverish Stock Price Reactions to COVID-19”…

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SIF Folio: BAE Systems is beating the market crash

As I write, the market is rising on early signs of hope that the coronavirus pandemic may have peaked. Of course, it’s too soon to be certain. And even if the outbreak has peaked, we don’t yet know how severe or long-lasting the damage will be to the g…

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SIF Folio: BAE Systems is beating the market crash

As I write, the market is rising on early signs of hope that the coronavirus pandemic may have peaked. Of course, it’s too soon to be certain. And even if the outbreak has peaked, we don’t yet know how severe or long-lasting the damage will be to the g…

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Small Cap Value Report (Tues 7 April 2020) – placeholder

Good morning, it’s Paul here, with the placeholder to start off with at 7am. It’s anybody’s guess what happens next, in this bizarre new world we live in. Probably like most people, I’m trying to figure out what the hell happens next? When not sure, I …

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Gear4music – a fallen star about to come good?

Gear4music might be about to turn a corner.
Anybody out there with a young child learning the drums will be painfully aware of this online musical instrument retailer.
The group was founded in 1995 by current CEO, Andrew Wass, who retains a chunky c34%…

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Characterizing S&P 500 Index Bear Market Rallies [PREMIUM]

A subscriber asked about frequency, magnitude and duration of bear market rallies. To investigate, we employ the S&P 500 Index and consider three ways to define a bear market: From the day the index is first down over 20% from a prior peak until th…

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Small Cap Value Report (Mon 6 Apr 2020) –

Good morning!
FTSE futures are up at the dizzy heights of 5575 – apparently due to signs that the spread of Covid-19, and deaths associated with it, may be slowing down.
This is the placeholder for your early comments – more to follow.
Cheers
Graham

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Small Cap Value Report (Mon 6 Apr 2020) – Covid Thoughts, HAT

Good morning!
FTSE futures are up at the dizzy heights of 5575 – apparently due to signs that the spread of Covid-19, and deaths associated with it, may be slowing down.
This is the placeholder for your early comments – more to follow.
Cheers
Graham
Co…

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Small Cap Value Report (Mon 6 Apr 2020) – Covid Thoughts, HAT, RCH

Good morning!
FTSE futures are up at the dizzy heights of 5575 – apparently due to signs that the spread of Covid-19, and deaths associated with it, may be slowing down.
This is the placeholder for your early comments – more to follow.
Cheers
Graham
Co…

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Small Cap Value Report (Fri 3 April 2020) – JOUL, SHOE

Good morning, it’s Paul here, with Friday’s SCVR. Here is the usual 7am placeholder, for reader comments as I write the main report throughout the morningday. Edit at 14:01 – please accept my apologies, I’m running late today. Estimated time of complet…

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