Good morning, it’s Paul here.Just to clarify, for any new subscribers who may not be aware, this is a placeholder article, which is posted early every weekday, so that readers can add your comments from 7am on RNSs. Then I update the article section by…
The Inflation Forecast now incorporates actual total and core Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for December 2019. The actual total (core) inflation rate for December is a little higher (a little lower than) forecasted.
The post Inflation Forecast Update…
How can investors suppress the downside of trend following strategies? In their July 2019 paper entitled “Protecting the Downside of Trend When It Is Not Your Friend”, flagged by a subscriber, Kun Yan, Edward Qian and Bryan Belton test ways…
Anyone invested in UK-focused cyclical stocks has done well since December’s general election. Indeed, we might speculate that if Neil Woodford had maintained his focus on FTSE 350 dividend stocks, he’d now be enjoying the adulation due to a successful…
Good morning, it’s Paul here with Tuesday’s SCVR.
Good morning, it’s Paul here with Tuesday’s SCVR.Please see the header above, for the list amp; order, of small cap trading updates/results that I’ll be reviewing today. I’ve also included a couple of mid caps that are particularly noteworthy, and inte…
Good morning, it’s Paul here with Tuesday’s SCVR.
Please see the header above, for the list amp; order, of small cap trading updates/results that I’ll be reviewing today. I’ve also included a couple of mid caps that are particularly noteworthy, and int…
Investors have high hopes for Rockrose Energy (LON:RRE) – it was the single most popular pick in our Stock Picking Challenge 2020. Why are so many savvy retail investors predicting big things in 2020 from this North Sea oil producer and explorer?
The b…
Sosandar is an online women’s fashion retailer, aimed at the gap between the youthful ASOS and Boohoo and the ageing Bonmarché. It was a reverse takeover of Orogen plc, coming to the market in November 2017.
Background
It has had a volatile few years s…
Are collectible (mint state, brilliant uncirculated or proof) U.S. coins attractive to investors as an alternative asset class? In their October 2019 paper entitled “U.S. Coins Market: Historical Performance and Anomalies”, Khaled Obaid, Ku…
Good morning, it’s Paul here with Monday’s placeholder.
Good morning, it’s Paul here. Please see the header for companies I’ll be covering today.Barclaycard – consumer spending dataI’ve tracked down the Barclaycard consumer spending report for Dec 2019, which is here. It’s well worth a look, as there’s some…
Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 1/6/20 through 1/10/20. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to your investing needs. Subscribers: To receive …
Is the conventional linear factor model comprised of a few presumably independent predictors the best, or even a good, way to model differences in returns across assets? In the December 2019 update of their paper entitled “The Cross-Section of Re…
Good morning, it’s Paul here with Friday’s SCVR.
Good morning, it’s Paul here with Friday’s SCVR.
It looks as if there’s going to be more pain today for shareholders in retailers, as evidence gathers that only the best had an acceptable period of trading over Xmas.
Early snippets – before 8am
I’m no…
Good morning, it’s Paul here with Friday’s SCVR.
It looks as if there’s going to be more pain today for shareholders in retailers, as evidence gathers that only the best had an acceptable period of trading over Xmas.Estimated timings today – I’ve done …
Good morning, it’s Paul here with Friday’s SCVR.
It looks as if there’s going to be more pain today for shareholders in retailers, as evidence gathers that only the best had an acceptable period of trading over Xmas.
Estimated timings today – I’ve done…
Does combining an economic growth variable trend with an asset price trend improve the power to predict stock market return? What is the best way to use such a combination signal? In his December 2019 paper entitled “Growth-Trend Timing and 60-40…
Good morning, it’s Paul here, with Thursday’s SCVR.
Estimated time of completion today is 2pm – there are lots of announcements, so I might possibly defer a couple until tomorrow.EDIT at 14:22 – today’s report is now finished.
Middle East tensions – t…
Good morning, it’s Paul here, with Thursday’s placeholder.
Estimated time of completion today is 1pm.
Good morning, it’s Paul here, with Thursday’s placeholder.
Estimated time of completion today is 1pm.
Good morning, it’s Paul here, with Thursday’s placeholder.
Estimated time of completion today is 2pm – there are lots of announcements, so I might possibly defer a couple until tomorrow.
Middle East tensions – the risk of all-out war between USA amp; …
Good morning, it’s Paul here, with Thursday’s placeholder.
Estimated time of completion today is 2pm – there are lots of announcements, so I might possibly defer a couple until tomorrow.
Middle East tensions – the risk of all-out war between USA amp; …
This time last year, UK investors were reeling from a difficult end to 2018. Tumbling equity prices in the final quarter had taken the FTSE All-Share to a two-year low. Growth and momentum strategies were notable losers and we were left wondering wheth…
Suppose ten stock market timing strategies out of 10,000 beat the market for ten years running. Are they true outperformers, or just lucky? Multiple hypothesis testing methods address that question by controlling for luck. What are these methods, and h…
Good morning, it’s Paul here.Please see the header for the shares I will be looking at today.
Estimated time of completion is 1pm.
Early snippets – no doubt MrC will cover these in his usual (very helpful) morning comment below, but this is what caught…
Good morning, it’s Paul here.
Please see the header for the shares I will be looking at today.
Estimated time of completion is 1pm.Edit at 12:17 – I want to spend more time on MPAC and SHOE, so am going to continue until 3pm. Hopefully there will be …
Good morning, it’s Paul here.
Please see the header for the shares I will be looking at today.
Estimated time of completion is 1pm.Edit at 12:17 – I want to spend more time on MPAC and SHOE, so am going to continue until 3pm. Hopefully there will be en…
Do investors drive stocks to overvaluation (undervaluation) in good (bad) economic times, such that corresponding expectations for future returns are therefore relatively low (high). In the August 2019 update of their paper entitled “Consumption …
