Verification Tests of the Smart Money Indicator [PREMIUM]

A subscriber requested verification of findings in “Smart Money Indicator for Stocks vs. Bonds”, where the Smart Money Indicator (SMI) is a complicated variable that exploits differences in futures and options positions in the S&P 500 I…

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Small Cap Value Report (Fri 21 Feb 2020) – SIXH, IQE

Good morning! Small-cap news today from our universe of stocks is limited: 600 (LON:SIXH) (trading update)IQE (LON:IQE) (grants share options to CEO/CFO)Checkit (LON:CKT) (concert party increases stake)AdEPT Technology (LON:ADT) (placing and subsc…

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Small Cap Value Report (Fri 21 Feb 2020) – SIXH, IQE, CKT, ADT, VLE

Good morning!
Small-cap news today from our universe of stocks is limited:
600 (LON:SIXH) (trading update)IQE (LON:IQE) (grants share options to CEO/CFO)Checkit (LON:CKT) (concert party increases stake)AdEPT Technology (LON:ADT) (placing and subsc…

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Small Cap Value Report (Fri 21 Feb 2020) – SIXH

Good morning! 
Small-cap news today from our universe of stocks is limited:
600 (LON:SIXH) (trading update)IQE (LON:IQE) (grants share options to CEO/CFO)Checkit (LON:CKT) (concert party increases stake)China Supply Chains amp; Coronovirus – Paul as…

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Underreaction to Changes in Firm Fundamentals [PREMIUM]

Do investors systematically and exploitably underreact to deviations in firm fundamentals from recent averages? In their January 2020 paper entitled “Anchoring on Past Fundamentals”, Doron Avramov, Guy Kaplanski and Avanidhar Subrahmanyam i…

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Small Cap Value Report (Thur 20 Jan 2020) – STAF

Good morning everyone!Thanks to Paul for manning the fort here so incredibly well, while I’ve been busy with some other projects.In terms of my own portfolio, the most interesting development recently was the small acquisition by Volvere (LON:VLE) – w…

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Small Cap Value Report (Thur 20 Jan 2020) – STAF, ALY

Good morning everyone!
Thanks to Paul for manning the fort here so incredibly well, while I’ve been busy with some other projects.
In terms of my own portfolio, the most interesting development recently was the small acquisition by Volvere (LON:VLE) -…

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Small Cap Value Report (Thur 20 Jan 2020) – STAF, ALY, DEV

Good morning everyone!
Thanks to Paul for manning the fort here so incredibly well, while I’ve been busy with some other projects.
In terms of my own portfolio, the most interesting development recently was the small acquisition by Volvere (LON:VLE) -…

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Small Cap Value Report (Thur 20 Jan 2020) – STAF, ALY, DEV, GAN

Good morning everyone!
Thanks to Paul for manning the fort here so incredibly well, while I’ve been busy with some other projects.
In terms of my own portfolio, the most interesting development recently was the small acquisition by Volvere (LON:VLE) -…

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Small Cap Value Report (Wed 19 Feb 2020) – KETL, RPS, GHH, EBQ, COG

Good morning, it’s Paul here with the SCVR for Wednesday. Estimated completion time – as usual, it will be mostly done by the 1pm official finish time (when the emails go out), but I might carry on adding more material after that, if there’s anything i…

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Combining SMA10 and P/E10 Signals [PREMIUM]

In response to the U.S. stock market timing backtest in “Usefulness of P/E10 as Stock Market Return Predictor”, a subscriber suggested combining a 10-month simple moving average (SMA10) technical signal with a P/E10 (or Cyclically Adjusted …

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Small Cap Value Report (Wed 19 Feb 2020) –

Good morning, it’s Paul here with the SCVR for Wednesday.Estimated completion time – as usual, it will be mostly done by the 1pm official finish time (when the emails go out), but I might carry on adding more material after that, if there’s anything in…

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Exploiting Liquidity Needs of Futures-based ETFs [PREMIUM]

Has growth in futures-based exchange-traded funds (ETF) predictably affected pricing of underlying assets? In his November 2019 paper entitled “Passive Funds Actively Affect Prices: Evidence from the Largest ETF Markets”, Karamfil Todorov i…

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Stock in Focus: Premier Miton – buying opportunity ahead of results?

Thank you for the terrific response to my article last week, which took a fresh look at my SIF strategy and discussed possible areas of change.
One subscriber comment highlighted the sad state of my screen results at the moment. It’s true! At the time …

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Small Cap Value Report (Tue 18 Feb 2020) – Apple, CNKS, ANG, BLTG,

Good morning, it’s Paul here with Tuesday’s SCVR. Please see the header above for the running order. We reached a pleasant milestone today – the first day of the year when I drew back the curtains at 06:47, and it was daylight! Only just, but I’m a gla…

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Small Cap Value Report (Mon 17 Feb 2020) – ALY, VLX, HDD, WHR, SHRE,

Good morning, it’s Paul here with Monday’s SCVR. Please see the header for the companies that have caught my eye from the 7am RNS. As there’s not much company news today, I’ll write some macro stuff later, as there was lots of interesting news in the S…

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Weekly Summary of Research Findings: 2/10/20 – 2/14/20 [PREMIUM]

Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 2/10/20 through 2/14/20. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to your investing needs. Subscribers: To receive…

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Trading the Trend – Future Group, Aston Martin Lagonda and Ceres Power

All of these stocks have featured in the news recently. Future (LON:FUTR) is the subject of a short-selling attack from Shawdowfall Research, who believe that it is ‘incredulous’ to believe that management can turn a collection of shrinking assets into…

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Small Cap Value Report (Fri 14 Feb 2020) – TRI, INDV,

Good morning, it’s Paul here with Friday’s SCVR. It’s quiet for results/TUs today, so I’ll circle back to a couple of stragglers that I didn’t have time to look at earlier this week. Estimated time of completion is 1pm Edit at 12:26 – today’s report is…

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Small Cap Value Report (Fri 14 Feb 2020) – TRI,

Good morning, it’s Paul here with Friday’s SCVR. It’s quiet for results/TUs today, so I’ll circle back to a couple of stragglers that I didn’t have time to look at earlier this week. Estimated time of completion is 1pm I’m pleased to see that Elon Mus…

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Medica: a high quality Healthcare compounder?

Medica (LON:MGP) is a small cap Healthcare company that ticks a lot of boxes if you’re looking for your next high quality long term hold. Think repeat revenues, strong cash generation, a solid track record of profitable growth, and encouraging underlyi…

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Inflation Forecast Update

The Inflation Forecast now incorporates actual total and core Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for January 2020. The actual total (core) inflation rate for December is about the same as (about the same as) forecasted.
The post Inflation Forecast Update …

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