Commodities News

The incredible strength of the U.S. Dollar over the past 12+ months has put downward pricing pressure on Gold and Silver. I believe this downward pricing pressure could be muting any upside price advanced in Gold and Silver by as much as 20% to 30% or more.

The U.S. Dollar has turned into the global “safe haven” for international investors and foreign governments. Over the past 6 to 12 months, or more, the U.S. Dollar has been the only fiat currency to see any strength and upward trend. All the other major global currency levels have fallen – some dramatically lower.

The EUR, GBP, AUD, CAD, and CHF have all fallen sharply over the past 6 to 12 months as the strength of the US Dollar and US Economy continued to surprise many. We’ve been calling this a “capital shift” that started back in 2015~2016 – when the 2016 US Election cycle began and China began to implement capital controls. At the same time, foreign nations such as Brazil and Venezuela began to shift into an economic abyss while the UK dealt with BREXIT negotiations. All of these external factors created an environment where the U.S. Dollar became a global safe haven for global investors – all of which were seeking U.S. equities and U.S. Dollars to hedge weakening foreign currencies and weak foreign stock market performance.

I think that the US Dollar strength, in combination with the continued foreign Gold acquisitions has amounted to a resolved “reversion” in Gold prices that could reflect a 10% to 20% price anomaly. In other words, the strength of the US Dollar has muted the advancing price of Gold by our estimates of 2x to 2.5x the strength of the US Dollar. Over the past 12 months, the US Dollar rallied from 89.42 (April 2018) to 97.92 (May 2019: current price). This reflects a 9.60% increase in the value of the US Dollar.

If my research is correct, the price of Gold should have rallied by about 18% to 26% from the April 2018 levels IF the US Dollar had not appreciated in value as it has. Therefore, the true price of Gold should be somewhere near $1600 (18% above April 2018 levels) to $1700 (26% above April 2018 levels) if we attempted to eliminate the “reversion effect” of the US Dollar strength.

We come to this conclusion by statistically analyzing the US Dollar strength after April 2018 and how Gold reacted to this strength – by falling over 12.5% from near $1350 to a level near $1170. That range of time reflected an 8% price advance in the U.S. Dollar. Thus, a ratio of 1.5 to 1 has clearly been established within that move. More recently, from August 2018 till now, the US Dollar has rallied 1.47% while the price of Gold has rallied 8.87%. The current price of Gold is -5.60% below the April 2018 price level.

If we were to assume that the rally in the U.S. Dollar deflated the price appreciation of Gold by nearly equal ratios, then we take the April 2018 price of Gold ($1350) and add the related price variances of Gold over this span (essentially reverting the price of Gold to April 2018 U.S. Dollar levels : $1350 * 1.27) and we end up with $1714.50. This reflects a greater than 30% price anomaly from the current price of Gold.

We need to ask ourselves one simple question, what would it take for Precious Metals and the global stock markets to revert back to these expected price levels? Would it be a move away from the U.S. Dollar? Would it be some shift in foreign currency valuations? Would it be a combination of factors that drive greater fear into the markets and reflect a U.S. Dollar valuation decline? In the second part of this article, I will explore some possibilities and explain why I believe we are just days or weeks away from finding out exactly what will cause this price anomaly to revert along with my proprietary gold price cycle forecast.

I just highlighted the strength of the U.S. Dollar in comparison to other foreign currencies and suggested this U.S. Dollar strength may have created a “price anomaly” setup in Precious Metals – specifically Gold. I believe a very unique setup is happening in the global markets right now and that the price of Gold is substantially undervalued compared to risks that are present throughout the global economies. I believe the strength of the U.S. Dollar has muted the upside potential of Gold by at least 20% to 30% over the past 12+ months and I believe a shift is taking place where Gold is starting to break these pricing constraints.

If the analysis is correct, I believe traders only have about 3~6+ weeks before we’ll find out why and what will cause this price anomaly to revert back to what I believe is “price normalcy”. The strength of the US Dollar, as well as the continued global “capital shift” where foreign investors are piling into the US stock market and US Dollar related investments, have continued to put incredible pricing pressures on Precious Metals. We believe this “shift” may be about to revert back to some levels of normalcy in term of Precious Metals pricing.

I believe a major Pennant/Flag formation is setting up in Gold where this price anomaly event will be resolved. This type of price anomaly reset, or reversion will prompt a massive upside price advance in Gold and Silver that will attempt to restore proper pricing levels to the Precious Metals commodities. I believe we are just weeks away from the completion of this Pennant/Flag apex/breakout event and believe the upside price targets identified align with a series of key events that are likely to unfold over the Summer months of 2019. Take a few minutes to read the recent three-part research post regarding these events and how they relate to the global stock/commodity markets here.

Our predictive modeling systems have been warning that a price advance in Gold and Silver will take place between April/May of 2019 and Aug/Sept or 2019. We are calling this the “initial upside price leg” because we believe this upside price move will be just the beginning of a much larger move higher for Precious Metals. We’ve highlighted some of the biggest concerns we currently have related to the global stock market price appreciation levels and the concerns related to the US Presidential Election cycle in precious articles – Please read them here :

• Proprietary Cycles Predict July Turning Point For Stock Market
• U.S. Election Cycle Will Create Increased Volatility

We believe it is imperative to alert all investors/traders of this event and to attempt to allow all investors/traders to plan for what may become one of the biggest global stock market swings in recent history as well as one of the biggest moves in Precious Metals in history.

My proprietary cycle analysis and trade signals are suggesting a mild price recovery in Gold will prompt moderate upside pricing pressure over the next 10-20+ days. This aligns perfectly with our Pennant/Flag formation, see the previous chart. It would be expected that Gold prices would form a moderate price support level near $1270 before moving back up to the upper Pennant price channel, near $1295. Then, price should set up the “Apex Breakout” move – which will likely be a “washout-low” price rotation (somewhere near or below $1270) with a very quick reversal to the upside – breaking $1330 and rallying much higher. This type of rotation is very common and often prompts traders to jump into short positions on the “washout-low” formation before getting clobbered on the reversal/rally. Be prepared.

Lastly, we want to alert everyone to a chart we’ve been following that could become a determining factor for the future of the global stock market levels, the U.S. Dollar and Precious Metals. The one thing we don’t want to see is a massive decline in yield in the 2 Year Treasuries. This would indicate failed growth expectations throughout the globe and, in particular, reflect concerns that the US markets could contract/decline in line with further global market devaluations.

We’ve already been trying to warn investors that the U.S. Presidential Election cycle will likely create a stalling price pattern in the US stock market. We’ve been warning, for the past 18 months, that Gold is setting up a massive bottom/breakout formation. We’ve recently highlighted the global concerns (Europe, China, US, and others) that may combine to create something like a “perfect storm” for currencies and the global equities markets. If that translates into “yield weakness” in the US Treasuries, think about how that would translate into the Precious Metals “reversion” that we are suggesting is only a few weeks away?

We strongly urge investors to pay very close attention to our research and prepare for this event. Yes, the Capital Shift event is still taking place and as long as nothing disrupts this shift, capital will continue to flow into the U.S. Dollar and U.S. Equities. Our concern is that the charts are telling us we are very near to the end of this event cycle and we are alerting all of our followers so they can prepare for this move. It may start out mildly – it may not. We do know that our predictive modeling systems are suggesting that July/August 2019 are on our radar for a major price rotation/event.

First, we typically see stocks sell off and as the old saying goes, “Sell in May and Go Away!” which is what has been happening.

So what does this mean? It means we should start to see money flow into the safe-haven assets like the Utility sector, bonds, and most importantly precious metals. I anticipated this and our XLU utilities ETF taken with members has already hit our first profit target, and our VIX ETF trade also hit out 15% profit target and we the balance of it is still up 25% as of yesterday.

Second, my birthday was this month, and I think it’s time I open the doors for a once a year opportunity for everyone to get a gift that could have some considerable value in the future.

For May I am going to give away and ship out silver rounds to anyone who buys a 1-year, or 2-year subscription to my Wealth Trading Newsletter. You can upgrade to this longer term subscription or if you are new, join one of these two plans listed below, and you will receive:

Happy May Everyone!
Chris Vermeulen

Crude Oil recently rallied up to the $63 level and failed. This level is a key Fibonacci price level based on our proprietary adaptive Fibonacci price modeling system. It represents a Fibonacci Long Trigger Level that would suggest that a new bullish price trend could setup if and when the price of Crude Oil rallies and closes above this level.

The fact that Crude Oil rallied above this level early on Monday, May 13, and failed to hold above this level suggests this is a failed price rally and a failed attempt to rotate higher. The failure of this price move suggests that Crude Oil may fall below current support, near $61, and begin a new downside price leg over the next 10+ trading sessions.

This Daily Crude Oil chart highlights the narrow price range, between $61 and $64.75, where a range of support and resistance levels are found with our proprietary Fibonacci modeling system. The fact that this failed price rally cleared the $63 level, then fell sharply afterward suggests that support for any upside price rally in Crude Oil is very weak. We would expect the price to rotate lower and retest the $61 level before breaking this level and moving much lower to find ultimate support.

We continue to attempt to reinforce one basic Fibonacci theory price rule for all of our followers to understand: Price must ALWAYS attempt to establish new price highs or new price lows at ALL TIMES.

We want to continue to push this message out to our followers so they can begin to understand how this price theory rule actually works in real-time application. This failed attempt to break the Bullish Fibonacci price trigger level is/was an attempt to establish a new price high. Failure to establish this new price high suggests that price will attempt to establish a new price low.

This weekly Crude Oil chart highlights the key Fibonacci trigger price levels that are located in a very narrow range near $63.25. The failed move higher, suggests a new price low will be attempted and ultimate support is currently near the $52.25 level.

With the US/China trade new still hitting the news cycles, we expect some extended volatility in the markets as well as currency price fluctuations in an attempt to mitigate the trade/stock market volatility/pricing. Additionally, we expect commodity price levels to come under continued pressure for two main reasons:

A. the U.S. Presidential election cycle continue to draw attention away from economic activity, and….

B. the global economy is already showing signs of economic and manufacturing weakness.

This US/China trade issue will certainly put more pressure on commodity prices while creating a renewed level of FEAR in the markets.

As we’ve been warning everyone for the past 5+ months – get ready for some really big moves in 2019 and 2020. This type of market is a skilled traders dream come true. Big moves, big rotations, and big profits. Also, if you have not read our Recent Gold Bottom article be sure to read that now.

This is proving to be an incredible trading year for traders who follow our trade alerts newsletter.

For active swing traders, you are going to love our daily trading analysis. On May 1st we talked about the old saying goes, “Sell in May and Go Away!” and that is exactly what is happening now right on queue. In fact, we closed out our SDS position on Thursday for a quick 3.9% profit and our other new trade started Thursday is up 18% already.

Second, my birthday is only three days away and I think it’s time I open the doors for a once a year opportunity for everyone to get a gift that could have some considerable value in the future.

Right now I am going to give away and shipping out silver rounds to anyone who buys a 1-year, or 2-year subscription to my Wealth Trading Newsletter. I only have 4 left as they are going fast so be sure to upgrade your membership to a longer term subscription or if you are new, join one of these two plans, and you will receive:

Happy May Everyone!
Chris Vermeulen

It is becoming evident that the US/Chinese trade issues are going to become a point of contention for the markets going forward. We’ve been review as much news as possible in an attempt to build a consensus for the future of the U.S. markets and global markets. As of last week, it appears any potential trade deal with China has reset back to square one. The news we are reading suggests that China wants to reset their commitments with the US, remove all tariffs and wants the US to commit to buying certain levels of Chinese goods in the future. Additionally, China has yet to commit to stopping the IP/Technology theft from U.S. companies – which is a very big contention for the US.

This suggests the past 6+ months of trade talks have completely broken down and that this trade issue will likely become a market driver over the next 12+ months. The global markets had anticipated a deal to be reached by the end of March 2019. At that time, Trump announced that he was extending talks with China without installing any new tariffs. The intent was to show commitment with China to reach a deal at that time – quickly.

It appears that China had different plans – the intention to delay and ignore U.S. requests. It is very likely that China has worked to secure some type of “plan B” type of scenario over the past 6+ months and they may feel they are negotiating from a position of power at this time. Our assumption is that both the U.S. and China feel their interests are best served by holding their cards close to their chests while pushing the other side to breakdown through prolonged negotiations.

Our observations are that an economic shift is continuing to take place throughout the globe that may see these US/China trade issues become the forefront issue over the next 12 to 24 months – possibly lasting well past the November 2020 US Presidential election cycle. It seems obvious that China is digging in for a prolonged negotiation process while attempting to hold off another round of tariffs from the US. Additionally, China is dealing with an internal process of trying to shift away from “shadow banking” to eliminate the risks associated with unreported corporate and private debt issues.

The limited, yet still valid, resources we have from within China are suggesting that layoffs are very common right now and that companies are not hiring as they were just a few months ago. One of our friends/sources suggested the company he worked for has been laying off employees for over 30 days now and he just found out he was laid off last week. He works in the financial field.

We believe the long term complications resulting from a prolonged U.S./China trade war may create a foundational shift within the global markets over the next 16 to 24+ months headed into the November 2020 U.S. Elections. We’ve already authored articles about how the prior 24 months headed into major U.S. elections tend to be filled with price rotation while an initial downside price move is common within about 16+ months of a major US election event. This year may turn out to prompt an even bigger price rotation.

U.S. Stock Market volatility just spiked to levels well above 20 – levels not seen since October/November 2018, when the markets fell nearly 20% before the end of 2018. The potential for increased price volatility over the next 12+ months seems rather high with all of the foreign positioning and expectations that are milling around. It seems like the next 16+ months could be filled with incredibly high volatility, price rotation and opportunity for skilled traders.

Our primary concern is that the continued trade war between the U.S. and China spills over into other global markets as a constricted price range based trading environment. Most of the rest of the world is still trying to spark some increased levels of economic growth after the 2008-09 market crisis. The current market environment does not settle well for investor confidence, growth, and future success. The combination of a highly contested U.S. Presidential election, US/China trade issues, a struggling general foreign market, currency fluctuations attempting to mitigate capital risks and other issues, it seems the global stock markets are poised for a very big increase in volatility and price rotation over the next 2 years or so.

Our first focus is on the Hang Seng Index. This Weekly chart shows just how dramatic the current price rotation has been over the past few weeks and how a defined price channel could be setting up in the HSI to prompt a much larger downside objective. Should continue trade issues persist and should China, through the course of negotiating with the U.S., expose any element of risk perceived by the rest of the world, the potential for further price contraction is very real. China is walking a very fine line right now as Trump is pushing issues (trade issues and IP/Technology issues) to the forefront of the trade negotiations. In our opinion, the very last thing China wants is their dirty laundry, shady deals and political leadership strewn across the global news cycles over the next 24+ months.

The DAX Weekly Index is showing a similar price pattern. A very clear upper price trend channel which translates into a very clear downside price objective is price continues lower. Although the DAX is not related directly to the US/China trade negotiations, the global markets are far more interconnected now than ever before. Any rotation lower in China will likely result in a moderate price decrease in many of the major global market indexes.

As we’ve suggested within our earlier research posts, U.S. election cycles tend to prompt massive price rotations when the election cycles are intense. In our next post PART II of this report, we talk about what happened in the past election cycles reviewing the monthly charts and weekly SP500 index charts which are very telling in what could be about to happen next for the stock market from an investors standpoint.

For active swing traders, you are going to love our daily trading analysis. On May 1st we talked about the old saying goes, “Sell in May and Go Away!” and that is exactly what is happening now right on queue. In fact, we closed out our SDS position on Thursday for a quick 3.9% profit and our other new trade started Thursday is up 18% already.

Second, my birthday is only three days away and I think it’s time I open the doors for a once a year opportunity for everyone to get a gift that could have some considerable value in the future.

Right now I am going to give away and shipping out silver rounds to anyone who buys a 1-year, or 2-year subscription to my Wealth Trading Newsletter. I only have 7 left as they are going fast so be sure to upgrade your membership to a longer term subscription or if you are new, join one of these two plans, and you will receive:

Chris Vermeulen
Stay tuned for PART II next!

Late Sunday afternoon, President Trump surprised the global markets with the announcement of increased trade tariffs with China relating to the ongoing trade negotiations and delayed trade talks between the two global superpowers. The global markets reacted immediately upon the open Sunday night (Asian open). The VIX short position puts quite a bit of professional traders at risk of big losses today while those of us that were prepared for an increase in volatility and price rotation is poised for some incredible opportunities.

The U.S. stock market is set up for a price move that will likely make many people very wealthy while frustrating many others over the next few months. We’ve recently posted many articles regarding the 2020 U.S. Presidential election cycle and the fear cycle that comes from these major political events. In November 2016, we remember watching Gold rally $60 early in the election night, then fall $100 as news began reporting the surprise winner. There is so much capital, and future capital expectations that ride on these election cycles – it can actually drive the markets in one direction or another.

Get Our Free Market Research Right Here

Right now, we have two things we want to alert you to regarding our proprietary Fibonacci price modeling utility. First, the current trend is Bullish and the chance of a downside price move is still valid. Remember, one of the primary price rules within Fibonacci price theory is that price must ALWAYS attempt to seek out new highs and new lows – at all times. This means that once price establishes new price highs, any failure to continue establishing new price highs, through standard price rotation, will result in its price attempting to establish new price lows.

So, as we continue with our expectations, remember that any failure of price to continue the push higher means it WILL rotate lower and attempt to establish new price lows.

Taking a look at this IWM Monthly chart shows a very clear price rotation near the end of 2018 and that the current price has yet to rally above the October 2018 highs. In this instance, we have a FAILURE to establish new price highs within the current price move. We also have a new price low established in December 2018. This high and low sets up the range of $173.99 and $125.80. Fibonacci price theory tells us that PRICE WILL attempt to establish a new price high or new price low from within this range. Therefore, the price WILL either continue to rally higher and break the $173.99 level or price WILL reverse lower, without reaching the $173.99 level and target the $125.80 level.

Our modeling system is currently telling us that price and trend is bullish and that the current price level has clearly rallied above the Fibonacci price trigger levels near $143.50. Should price rotate lower and breach these Fibonacci price trigger levels, then we would expect the price to move much lower. Right now, we don’t expect that to happen based on a strong U.S. economy, employment and earnings.

This Monthly SPX chart shows a similar setup – yet the main difference is that the current HIGH PRICES are clearly above the October 2018 previous highs. Thus, in this instance the SPX has reached “new price highs” as a component of Fibonacci price theory and, because of this fact, must continue to strive for new price highs or risk failing and rotating lower to establish new price lows.

In fact, the past three trading sessions are proprietary SP500 index trading system issued two quick winning trades for members. The two trades pulled 2.5% and 2% out of the market in less than 24 hours from the entry prices. This momentum and trend trading system are going to be a new trading weapon for us to follow and trade the markets once we implement this into the member’s area for viewing the charts and signals at any time.

Take a look at the chart below then consider what that last statement really means. It suggests that we have already reached into new price high territory. Fibonacci theory suggests that “once new price highs are established, the trend MUST continue to attempt to establish new higher price highs – OR FAIL and attempt to establish a new price low. Well, a failure at this level could mean a price move all the way back towards recent lows near December 2018 – near $2346.58. Therefore, it is critical that we see other markets, like the IWM, continue to push higher in an attempt to support this broader upside price move for all the U.S. major stocks.

The most important factor going forward is to be prepared to think and react very quickly to price rotations, news, and the election cycle process. Take a look at how volatile the market has become over the past 12 months and consider the fact that we could continue to see this type of volatility in the markets for the next 15+ months – at least through the election cycle process.

Remember also that the US economy is operating on very strong fundamentals, employment, and outputs. Disruption of future expectations could lead to a massive displacement of capital in the global markets. Watch crude oil, gold, silver and other commodities for any signs of weakness. And pay attention to the levels we are suggesting in this research post. If the SPX falls below $2600 – be prepared. If the IWM falls below $142 – be prepared. Price is always seeking out new price highs and new price lows. If it can’t get one side, it will attempt to get the other.

The global market “Shake out” that we wrote about weeks ago is just starting. Our expectations are that an increase in price volatility, as well as a minor price rotation, will take place in the U.S. markets before a continued upside price bias will drive prices higher again. There are two main drivers that will become leaders of any bigger rotation in the global markets – Metals and Commodities. If we begin to see a collapse in commodity prices, pretty much across the board, while metals breakout into a rally, then we are setting up for a bigger downside price move. Until that happens, continue to expect an upside price bias to continue in the U.S. stock market.

Secondly, should a massive currency revaluation event take place, where global currencies weaken as the U.S. Dollar stays strong, then we could be setting up for a “slow unraveling” of foreign debt markets and foreign equity markets. This would be almost like a “slow bleed out” as a currency devaluation event prompt incredible pricing pressures on local foreign governments to support their economies. These devaluation events, if they happen, could prompt a hyper inflation type of event that could disrupt weaker nations to such a degree that they could weaken world leading economies that have exposure to these foreign nations – Think China/Russia.

Our advice continues to be to look for opportunities as the volatility increases and continue to expect an upside price bias in the U.S. stock market – at least until we have any strong evidence that price trend has changed. Don’t buy into the doom-sayers just yet. In our opinion, this U.S. upside price move is not over yet.

If you want to become a technical trader and pull money from the markets during times when most others cannot be sure to join the Wealth Trading Newsletter today. Plus, for a few days only I’m giving away and shipping Free Silver Rounds to subscribers who join our select membership levels.

Chris Vermeulen @ The Technical Traders

Now that most of the U.S. Major Indexes have breached new all time price highs, which we called over 5+ months ago, and many traders are starting to become concerned about how and where the markets may find resistance or begin to top, we are going to try to paint a very clear picture of the upside potential for the markets and why we believe volatility and price rotation may become a very big concern over the next few months. Our objective is to try to help you stay informed of pending market rotation and to alert you that we may be nearing a period within the US markets where increased volatility is very likely.

Longer term, many years into the future, our predictive modeling systems are suggesting this upside price swing is far from over. Our models suggest that price rotation will become a major factor over the next 12 to 15+ months – headed into the U.S. Presidential election cycle of November 2020. Our models are suggesting that the second half of this year could present an incredible opportunity for skilled investors as price volatility/rotation provide bigger price swings. Additionally, our models suggest that early 2020 will provide even more opportunity for skilled traders who are able to understand the true price structure of the markets. Get ready, thing are about to get really interesting and if you are not following our research or a member of our services, you might want to think about joining soon.

We are focusing this research post on the NQ, ES and YM futures charts (Daily). We will include a longer term YM chart near the end to highlight longer-term expectations. Let’s start with the NQ Daily chart.

The NQ Daily chart, below, highlights our ongoing research, shows the 2018 deep price rotational low and the incredible rally to new all time highs recently. The most important aspect of this chart is the “Upside Target Zone” near the $8040 level and the fact that any rally to near these levels would represent an extended upside price rally near the upper range of the YELLOW price channel lines. We believe any immediate price rotation may end near the $7500 level (between the two Fibonacci Target levels near $7400 & $7600) and could represent a pretty big increase in price volatility.

This ES Daily chart highlights the different in capabilities between the NQ and the ES. While the NQ is already pushing into fairly stronger new price highs, the ES is struggling to get above the Sept/Oct 2018 highs and this is because very strong resistance is found between $2,872 and $2,928. It is very likely that the price volatility will increase near these highs as price becomes more active in an attempt to break through this resistance. It is also very likely that a downside price rotation may happen where price attempts to retest the $2,835 level (or lower) before finally pushing into a bigger upside price trend. The Upside Target Zone highs are just below $3,000. Therefore, we believe any move above $2,960 could represent an exhaustion top type of price formation.

This YM chart is set up very similarly to the ES chart. Historical price highs are acting as a very strong price ceiling. While the NQ is already pushing into fairly stronger new price highs, the YM continues to struggle to get above the Sept/Oct 2018 highs and this is because very strong resistance is found between 25,750 and 27,000. Please take notice of the very narrow resistance channel (BOX) on this chart that highlights where we believe true price support/resistance is located. We believe it is likely that a downside price rotation may happen where price attempts to retest the $26,000 level (or lower) before finally pushing into a bigger upside price trend.

As you can tell from our recent posts and this research, we believe price volatility is about to skyrocket higher as price rotates downward. Our predictive modeling systems are suggesting that we are nearing the end of this current upside move where a downward price move will establish a new price base and allow price to, eventually, push much higher – well above current all-time high levels.

We’ve issued research posts regarding Presidential election cycles and how, generally, stock market prices decline 6 to 24 months before any US Presidential election. We believe this pattern will continue this year and we are warning our followers to be prepared at this stage of the game. No, it will not be a massive market crash like 2008-09. It will be a downside price rotation that will present incredible opportunities for skilled traders. If you want more of our specialized insight and analysis, then please visit The Technical Traders to learn how we help our members find success.

Lastly, we’ve included this Weekly YM chart to show you just how volatile the markets are right now. Pay very close attention to the Fibonacci Target Levels that are being drawn on this chart. The downside target levels range from $16,000 to $21,060. The upside target levels range from $30,000 to $32,435. Top to bottom, The Fibonacci price modeling system is suggesting a total volatility range of over $16,000 for the YM Weekly chart and this usually suggests we are about to enter a period of bigger price rotation and much higher price volatility.

Right now, we suggest that you review some of our most recent posts to see how we’ve been calling these market moves, visit The Technical Traders Free Research. It is important for all of our followers to understand the risks of being complacent right now. The markets are about to enter a period of about 24+ months where incredible opportunities will become evident for skilled traders. If you know what is going to happen, you can find opportunities everywhere. If not, you are going to be on the wrong side of some very big moves.

Chris Vermeulen

The ES and NQ are very close to breaking out to new all time highs this week and possibly over the next few weeks. The NQ is very close to these new high levels already. Traders must not take this move for granted as increased volatility and a very real chance for a price correction become even greater once we break into “new high territory”.

This upside move has taken almost 5 months to climb back from the December 2018 lows. It has been a very dramatic rally to say the least. We’ve seen dozens of professional analysts suggest the markets would rotate lower all the way up this rally. It seems as though everyone wanted to be right that the market top in October 2018 was going to be the start of something big. We were one of the few analysts that called the market accurately. Our September 17, 2018 analysis called for almost every leg of this price swing over the past 7+ months. We stuck by our research while others were skeptical and doubting our research. We stuck to it because we believe in our work and modeling tools.

Now, our modeling tools are suggesting we could be setting up for a pretty big increase in volatility over the next 2~3 months with the potential for bigger price rotation into May/June 2019. As we are reading our modeling system results, the key elements are that price will achieve new all-time highs, the price will increase in volatility and Gold should begin an upside price move over the next 2~5+ weeks. The move in Gold suggests one of two things may happen, or both. The US Dollar may weaken or the US stock market may correct a bit based on some economic event or outside foreign economic event.

Either way, the move in Gold suggests that increased volatility is almost a sure thing over the next 60 to 90 days. The only reason Gold would rise is if there is some increased fear factor throughout the planet in regards to the protection of assets and fear of some unknown event. Therefore, if our analysis is correct and Gold does rise as we have indicated, then something is about to create a big increase in volatility.

The key to all of this is that the ES and NQ will move into NEW HIGH territory before this volatility increase begins to become apparent.

This ES Weekly chart shows just how close the ES (S&P500 Futures) are too new all-time highs. The ES needs to climb another 41 points (+1.41%) before it touches the previous all-time high levels. That is really only one of two good upside days. Once it breaks the 2947 level, then the 3000 psychological level becomes a very real target.

This NQ Weekly chart shows that the NQ is really just inches away from breaking to new all-time highs. The NQ only needs to rally 24.50 points (+0.31%) before the 7731 level is breached. We believe this move will happen very early this week and we could see the NQ push all the way above the 8000 level in short order. Our Fibonacci price modeling system is suggesting 9130 and 9625 levels may become the ultimate highs – but it is still very early to tell at this stage of our research.

Back in July and August 2018, we started warning that the end of 2018 and all of 2019 were going to be very good years for skilled traders. We’ve seen a nearly 3800+ point price swing in the NQ and a +1200 point price swing in the ES. Let’s face it, folks, these are very big moves and if you had been capable of trading these moves efficiently, this is the type of price rotation that makes millionaires out of average traders.

Get ready, because the rest of 2019 and almost all of 2020 are going to be just as exciting to trade so be sure to get our trade signals. We’ll see you on the other side of “new all-time highs” for the U.S. Stock market here soon.

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Chris Vermeulen

A very interesting price pattern is setting up in the financial sector that could lead to a very big move in the US & Global markets. Remember how in 2008-09, the Financial sector and Insurance sector were some of the biggest hit stock sectors to prompt a global market crisis? Well, the next few weeks and months for the financial sector are setting up to be critical for our future expectations of the US stock market and global economy.

Right now, many of the financial sector stocks are poised near an upper price channel that must be breached/broken before any further upside price advance can take place. The current trend has been bullish as prices have rallied off the December 2018 lows. Yet, we are acutely aware of the bigger price channels that could become critical to our future decision making. If there is any price weakness near these upper price channel levels and any downside price rotation, the downside potential for the price is massive and could lead to bigger concerns.

Let’s start off by taking a look at these Monthly charts…

This first Monthly Bank Of America chart is best at showing the price channel (in YELLOW) as well as a key Fibonacci price level (highlighted by the MAGENTA line). We’ve also highlighted a price zone with a green shaded box that we believe is key support/resistance for the current price trend.

As you can see from this chart, since early February 2018, the overall trend has shifted into a sideways bearish trend. The price recovery from December 2018 was impressive, yes, but it is still rotating within this sideways/bearish price channel. Our belief is that this YELLOW upper price channel level MUST be broken in order for the price to continue higher at this point. Any failure to accomplish this will result in a price reversal that could precipitate a 30% price decline in the value of BAC. In other words, “it is do-or-die time – again”.

This Monthly JPM chart shows a similar pattern, yet the price channel is a bit more narrow visually. We have almost the same setup in JPM as we do in BAC. The same channels, the same type of Fibonacci price support level, the same type of sideways price support zone (the shaded box) and the same overall setup. As traders, we have to watch for these types of setup and be aware of the risks that could unfold with a collapse of the financial sector over the next few weeks.

We believe the next few weeks could be critical for the financial sector and for the overall markets. If weakness hits the financial sector as global growth continues to stagnate we could enter a period where the global perception of the future 12~24 months may change. Right now, perception has been relatively optimistic in the global stock markets. Most traders have been optimistic that the markets will recover and a US/China trade deal will get settled. The biggest concern has been the EU and the growth of the European countries.

What if that suddenly changed?

We are not saying it will or that we know anything special about this setup. We are just suggesting that the Monthly charts, above, are suggesting that price will either break above this upper price channel or fail to break this level and move lower. We are suggesting that, as skilled traders, we need to be acutely aware of the risks within the financial sector right now and prepare for either outcome.

This last chart, a Weekly FAS chart, shows a more detailed view of this same price rotation and sideways expanding wedge/channel formation. Pay very close attention to the shaded support channel shown with the GREEN BOX on this chart. Any price rotation within this level should be considered “within a support channel” and not a real risk initially. We want to see price break above the upper price channel fairly quickly, within the next 2 to 5+ weeks, and we can to see it establish a new high (above $78 on this chart) to confirm a new bullish price trend. Once this happens, we’ll be watching for further price rotation and setups. If it fails to happen, then the RED DOWN ARROW is the most likely outcome given the current price setup.

Any downside price move in the Financial sector would have to be associated with some decreased future expectations by investors. Thus, our bigger concern is that something is lurking just below the surface right now that could pull the floor out from under this sector. Is it a surprise Fed rate increase? Is it some news from the EU? Is it a sudden increase in credit defaults? What is the “other shoe” – so to say.

Be prepared. If all goes well, then we’ll know within a few more weeks if the upside price rally will continue or if we need to start digging for clues as to why the support for the financial sector is eroding. This really is a “do or die” setup in the financial sector and we urge all traders to pay very close attention to this sector going forward. We believe it will be the leading sector for any major price weakness across the global markets.

Do you want to find a team of dedicated researchers and traders that can help you find and execute better trades in 2019 and beyond? Please visit The Technical Traders to learn how we can help you prepare for the big moves in the global markets and find better opportunities for greater success in the future. Our team of researchers and traders continue to scan the markets for new trades and incredible research for all our members and followers.

Chris Vermeulen

Historically, April has been a pretty consistent upside opportunity in Natural Gas for over 20 years. Over the past 24+ years, the upside opportunity in Natural Gas has been accurate over 68% of the time with the average upside potential ranging from $0.60 to $0.85. With Natural Gas sitting down near recent lows and seeing as though we are still fairly early in the month of April, our researchers believe the opportunity still exists for some quick profits in UNG with an upside move from below $23.95 to a target level of $26 to $28 (roughly +9 to +18%).

The downside risk is rather limited with clear support visible below the recent lows (near $22.75) and a historical likelihood of any further downside price swing being below 33%. Our research team believes an opportunity to establish new longs in UNG below the current Daily price gap (below $23.50) would be ideal.

Historical data mining shows that average upside rallies at this time of the year are typically ranging just below $1. Thus, the upside potential for this move being about +9 to +12% should be sufficient for quick profits. Skilled traders can hold a small portion of the trade for any potential run beyond these initial target levels, but we caution traders that $28.50 to $29.00 is an area of strong resistance. Our last trade in natural gas with subscribers netted us 30% profit in UGAZ within 10 days back in February.

Our research team is still waiting for the Daily Upside Gap to fill with prices below $23.50 before we look to enter any new trades. We have been patiently waiting for the bottom in Natural Gas to form knowing that we have this trade setup with a relatively high success rate. Keep an eye on Natural Gas and look for any good entries below $23.50 in UNG – the deeper the better. Our Fibonacci modeling systems are already suggesting a bottom has set up and any upside price move above $24.30 will likely prompt a bigger rally towards $26 to $28.

Are you ready for this next move? Want to know how we can help you find and execute better trades? 55 years of combined experience in researching and trading makes analyzing the complex and ever-changing financial markets a natural process. We have a simple and highly effective way to provide our customers with the most convenient, accurate, and timely market forecasts available today. Our stock and ETF trading alerts are readily available through our exclusive membership service via email and SMS text.

Our newsletter, Technical Trading Mastery book, and Trading Courses are designed for both traders and investors. Also, some of our strategies have been fully automated for the ultimate trading experience.

Chris Vermeulen

The recent recovery in Crude Oil has, partially, been based on increasing expectations of a global economic recovery taking place and the continued news that the US/China will work out a trade deal. Crude inventories. Just last week U.S. Crude Oil inventories came in at +7.2 million barrels vs. expectations of -425,000 barrels. Additionally, concerns in Syria and Libya are pushing prices a bit higher as well. Whenever there are supply concerns or uncertainty out of this region, prices tend to rise.

The facts remain very dynamic for Oil. The U.S. is continuing to produce more and more oil and is expected to become a “net exporter” of oil this year. Economic issues will, eventually, resolve themselves, yet we don’t know the final outcome of these trade deals or how the economy will react to any milestones that are required within the final settlement. And, again, these continuing issues in Libya, Syria and near this region are likely to cause some increased levels of uncertainty over the next 60+ days.

Our researchers, at The Technical Traders, believe the $65.00 level will act as resistance to this current upswing. We believe the upside price move may continue to levels near $67.50 before weakening and beginning a topping formation. We believe our expectation that precious metals will bottom near April 21~24 is key to understanding the dynamics of this move in oil. As long as FEAR does not enter the market, then Oil will likely react to impulse factors exclusively related to oil. Once Gold breaks out above $1500 per ounce, our belief is that oil will react to fear factors related to some broader economic event driving investors into precious metals.

Therefore, we are urging traders to be cautious of the upside price swing in Oil at the moment. Yes, we believe the upside will continue for at least another 10~15 days (possibly changing direction near April 21~24). Yes, we believe current global dynamics support moderately higher Oil prices. Yet, we feel these factors may change within the next 20~45 days as we believe some increased fear levels are about to hit the global markets.

At this point, we would urge Bullish Oil traders to start to become more cautious of any downside risks and begin to prepare for increased volatility. We don’t have any real clue as to how this move will setup, but we do believe our other research support increased volatility within the Crude Oil markets and the potential for a new downside price swing before any further upside move sets up.

Please take a minute to review this research post from January 31, 2019 > Learning From our SP500, Gold and Oil Research & Profit.

We’ve recently launched a new technology solution for our members that delivers our incredible research and trading solutions. You can also visit The Technical Traders Free Research to learn more about our research team and past article. 20129 is going to continue to be an incredible year for skilled traders – you won’t want to miss these big moves that are setting up.

Chris Vermeulen

While we have recently suggested the US stock market is poised for further upside price activity with a moderately strong upside price “bias”, our researchers continue to believe the U.S. stock markets will not break out to the upside until the Russell 2000 breaks the current price channel, Bull Flag, formation. Even though the U.S. stock markets open with a gap higher this week, skilled traders must pay attention to how the Mid-Caps and the Russell 2000 are moving throughout this move.

As we continue to advise our clients that the upside pricing cycle in the U.S. stock market is being underestimated, see this research post: we also believe that increased volatility and price rotation will continue to drive larger rotations in price before the final breakout upside move takes place. We want to continue to warn traders that we still don’t have any confirmed upside breakout with price continuing to stay within this price channel in the Russell 2000. Eventually, when and if the price does breakout to the upside, we will have a very clear indication that continued higher prices and a larger upside move is happening. Until then, we need to stay cautious about the types and levels of rotation that continue within the markets.

Recently, volatility has started to increase as can be seen in this VIX chart. If the Russell 2000 is not able to break this trend channel with this current upside price move, then we fully expect continued price rotation in the U.S. stock markets and another increase in the VIX as this rotation takes place. The NQ recently rotated downward by nearly 4% while historical volatility continues to narrow. When volatility diminishes in extended price trends, we’ve learned to expect aggressive price rotation can become more of a concern. We expect the VIX to spike above 16~18 on moderate volatility as we get closer to the cycle inflection date near June/July 2019.

Overall, our researchers believe the upside price bias in the U.S. stock market will continue for another 30+ days as our research and predictions regarding precious metals and the longer term equities price cycles continue to play out. Skilled traders need to be aware that this upside price bias may include larger price rotation and volatility as we get closer to the May/June/July 2019 cycle inflection points. Stay aware of the risks as 4~6%+ price rotations should be expected over the next 30+ days throughout this upside price bias.

Do you want to find a team of dedicated researchers and traders that can help you find and execute better trades in 2019 and beyond? Please visit The Technical Traders to learn how we can help you prepare for the big moves in the global markets and find better opportunities for greater success in the future. Our team of researchers and traders continue to scan the markets for new trades and unique opportunities.

Recently, we warned that Natural Gas may set up another opportunity for traders to buy into a support zone below $2.70 with a selling range near or above $3.00. Our upside target zone is between $3.25 and $3.45. The price of Natural Gas has recently fallen below $2.69 and we believe this could be the start of a setup for skilled traders to identify key buying opportunity in preparation for a quick +8% to +15% upside swing.

Historically, March and April have been pretty solid months for Natural Gas. Let’s go over the historical data using three different seasonality charts which all point to higher prices.

Taking a look at the data, above for both March and April it appears we should have a positive price outcome over the next 20+ trading sessions. Thus, we can determine that the likelihood of a positive price swing between now and the end of April is highly likely.

When we take a look at the chart data to see how our BUY and SELL zones are setting up, it becomes clear that any opportunity to BUY into the lower support channel, with a moderate degree of risk, could result in a very nice profit potential of between $0.35 to $0.70 on data that supports the Bullish potential as a 200%~220% advantage over downside potential.

Take a look at the data that we are presenting and try to understand that these types of historical price triggers are not foolproof, yet they do provide a clear advantage. They allow us to see if and when there is any type of advantage to our decision making and if we can identify any real opportunity for future success. We believe any further downside price activity in Natural Gas will result in additional opportunities for Long trades with $2.45 being our absolute low entry target. Our upside exit target would be any level above $2.95, or higher, and our ultimate target objective would be $3.15 or higher. Our last trade in natural gas (UGAZ) gave us 30% return in just two weeks in February!

This could be another opportunity for a trader to target a quick 8% to 15% swing trade in Natural Gas over the next 20+ days. Time to put Natural Gas on your radar again!

Are you ready for this next move? Want to know how we can help you find and execute better trades? Visit The Technical Traders Right Here to get our, technical indicators, market analysis, daily videos and trade alerts.

Chris Vermeulen
Technical Traders Ltd.

Our researchers have been glued to Gold, Silver and the Precious Metals sector for many months. We believe the current setup in Gold is a once in a lifetime opportunity for skilled traders to stake positions below $1300 before a potentially incredible upside price move. We’ve been alerting our members and follower to this opportunity since well before the October/December 2018 downside price rotation in the U.S. markets.

October 5, 2018: Prepare for a Gold and Silver Rally

December 9, 2018: Waiting for Gold to Erupt

Jan 25, 2018: Why Everyone is Talking About Gold and Silver

Additionally, our researchers called the bottom in the U.S. equities markets and warned of an incredible upside price rotation setting up just before the actual price bottom occurred on December 24, 2018.

December 26, 2018: Has The Equities Sell Off Reached a Bottom Yet

Our research continues to suggest that Gold and Silver will rotate within a fairly narrow range over the next 3-5 weeks before setting up a likely price bottom near April 21st, 2019. We’ve been predicting this bottom formation for many months and have been warning our followers to prepare for this move and grab opportunities below $1300 when they set up.

This first chart, a Monthly chart showing our TT Charger price modeling system, clearly illustrates the strength of this bullish price trend and the initiation of this trend back in early 2016. One of the strengths of the TT Charger modeling system is that it establishes a number of key price data points and trend factors. The background color highlighted ranges show price range breadth and range expansion or contraction. The dual channel facets show where price is likely to find support and resistance. The DOT LEVELS show where critical support or resistance is in terms of the overall trend channels.

Right now, we are still in a bullish trend with key support near $1165. The Dual Channel system is showing the $1260 to $1285 level is currently the most likely active support levels just below current price. Thus, we could see a move to near these levels over the next 3+ weeks and I would suggest skilled traders jump on this opportunity. The Range system is showing a current $250~350 price range, thus, any upside price breakout could easily rally within this range and push prices at least $250+ higher than current levels – likely well above $1550. If range expansion sets up, we could see prices well above $1750.

We’ve authored hundreds of research posts over the past 12+ months and the one thing that we continue to mention is that Fibonacci price theory continues to operate on the premise that “price must always attempt to find and establish new price highs or lows – at all times”. Please keep this in mind as we continue.

Take a look at the TT Charger chart, above, and the raw Monthly price chart, below. Price must always attempt to find and establish new price highs or lows – so where is price going based on the most recent price rotations? Let’s review…

After rallying in early 2016 to establish a price high of $1377.50, gold immediately rotated downward to establish a higher low near $1124.50. The $1377.50 high price was a “new price high” in terms of previous rotational highs while the $1124.50 low was a higher low price rotation point. Thus, a failed “new price low”.

Since these two price points, Gold has settled into a sideways price channel where new price highs and lows have been attempted, but have failed to breakout out of the existing previous high and low price levels. As a technician of price, we can immediately identify this as a possible “Pennant or Flag” formation. With the last “new price level” being a “new price high” we still believe that Gold will attempt to break above the recent high price levels and attempt a much bigger upside price swing.

Our analysis suggests the April 21st date as a critical date for the potential price bottom in Gold and Silver. Our belief is that this date will like result in a near term momentum bottom in price. Where price may fall, briefly, below $1290 and rotate into a “washout low” price rotation. The opportunity for this move could come 3-5 days before or after the April 21st date.

This last chart, a Monthly price chart, illustrating the Pennant/Flag formation in Gold should be the clearest example we can provide that Gold will soon break out to the upside and rally extensively higher if our research and analysis are correct. The momentum that has built up over the past 2+ years, as well as the global demand for Gold by central banks and by investors as a hedging instrument, could prompt Gold and Silver to rally at least 50~60% in this first upside breakout wave – resulting in $1900 gold prices. Silver could rally to well above $18-$19 in a similar move and the number our researchers believe may become the upside target in Silver is $21.

This big picture chart and technical pattern could still take months to unfold if the price is to test the lower end of the trading range at $1225. If our analysis is correct, Gold and Silver could begin an upside price breakout shortly after April 21st (very likely to become evident in early May 2019). The upside potential for this move is at least $1550 in Gold and at least $18 in Silver.

Please understand that any upside breakout in Gold and Silver will likely be associated with general global market weakness including the potential for some type of global crisis event. This could be related to the EU, BREXIT, China, France or any other nation burdened by debt, dealing with election turmoil or related to social or economic angst. We could almost throw a dart at a map of the globe and hit some area that is poised for some type of economic crisis.

Our last buy signal for gold and gold miners was in Sept 2018 and subscribers and our team profited from that $100 gold rally. This next opportunity here is to understand that we only have about 20-25 days to search out and isolate the best entry prices we can find in Gold and Silver before our April 21st momentum bottom date hits. This means we need to prepare for this upside breakout move in Precious Metals and prepare our other open positions for the possibility of extended downside pricing concerns. If you read our continued research posts, you’ll understand that we believe the U.S. stock market will rotate a bit lower prior to this April 21st date and rally as well.

We believe the U.S. equities markets will become a safe haven, like Gold, where foreign investors can balance the strength of the U.S. Dollar with the strong U.S. economy and continued equity price appreciation while more fragile nations deal with economic crisis events and debt concerns. Thus, we believe capital will flood the US markets after April 21st as evidence of these economic concerns drives foreign investors into U.S. equities.

Take a minute to find out why Technical Traders Ltd. is quickly becoming one of the best research and trading services you can find anywhere on the planet. We are about to launch a new technology product to assist our members and we continue to deliver incredible research posts, like this one, where we can highlight our proprietary price modeling systems and adaptive learning solutions.

 If you want to stay ahead of these markets moves and find greater success in 2019 and beyond Join Our Wealth Trading Newsletter Today.

Chris Vermeulen

If you have been following our research over the past few months, you already know that we’ve called just about every major move in Gold over the past 14+ months. Recently, we called for Gold to rally to $1300 area, establish a minor peak, stall and retrace back to setup a momentum base pattern. We predicted this move to take place back in January 2019 – nearly 30+ days before it happened.

Now, we are publishing this research post to alert you that we are about 15~30 days away from the momentum base setup in Gold which will likely mirror in Silver. Thus, we have about 20+ days to look for and target entry opportunities in both Gold and Silver before this momentum bottom/base sets up.

This Monthly Gold chart, below, shows you the historic peaks that make up a current resistance level near 1370. This level is critical in understanding how the momentum base and following breakout will occur. This resistance level must be broken before the upside rally can continue above $1400, then $1500. Ultimately, the momentum base we are expecting for form before April 21st is the “last base” to setup before a much bigger upside price move takes place. In other words, pay attention over the next 30 days before this move happens.

This next Monthly Silver chart is the real gem of the precious metals world. The upside potential for Silver is actually much bigger than Gold currently. Any breakout move will likely see Silver push well above $30 per ounce and we just need to watch the $18.90 level for signs the breakout is beginning. Silver will follow a similar basing patter as Gold. We expect only about 30 days of buying opportunity left before this basing pattern is completed. Again, watch the April 21st date as the key date for the breakout move to begin.

Palladium has reached our initial Fibonacci upside price targets. We expect price to consolidated and potentially rotate near the $1500 price level. Ideally, price could fall below the $1300 price level and target the $1100 area before finding any real support. As long as industrial demand continues for Palladium, we expect to see continued upside price activity over the long run. Right now, we are expecting a price contraction as global industrial demand may falter a bit.

Please consider the research we are presenting to you today. Our predictive modeling systems have been calling the metals markets quite accurately over the past 14+ months. If our prediction of a momentum base on or near April 21st is correct, then we should begin to see an incredible upside price swing in Gold and Silver shortly after this date. You won’t want to miss this one – trust us. There will be time to catch this move when it starts – it could be an extended upside move.

Pay attention and put April 21st on your calendar now.

If you like our research and our level of insight into the markets, then take a minute to visit our site to learn how we help our clients find and execute for success. We’ve been calling these market moves almost perfectly over the past 18+ months. Learn how our research team can help you stay ahead of these swings in price and find new opportunities for skilled traders. Take a minute to see how we can help you find and execute better trades by visiting The Technical Traders today.

Chris Vermeulen
Technical Traders Ltd.

On October 20, 1973, Saudi King Faisal announced KSA was joining in an oil embargo against the United States and Europe in favor of the Arab position in the Yom Kippur War. In an interview with international media, King Faisal said: “America’s complete…

Today we warn of a potential downside price rotation in precious metals that may last 3 – 5+ weeks as metals set up for a massive breakout rally which we believe will start in late April or early May. Our custom indicators are suggesting that precious metals, and the general U.S. stock markets, may be setting up for a bit of a reprieve rotation after a very impressive recovery. Be patient as we believe this pullback in prices will provide an excellent buying opportunity for the eventual momentum rally setting up in about 30+ days.​

Let’s start by looking at our Custom Market Volatility indicators. The Weekly chart below highlights the recent recovery in the U.S. stock market since the December 24th, 2018 lows and also shows that the current recovery level is sitting right at a 61.8% Fibonacci level. It is our belief that a period of general price weakness will begin to unfold over the next 10 – 15+ days in the U.S. stock market. This rotation is very healthy for the next leg higher – the momentum rally we have been suggesting will take place in the near future.

We believe the downside rotation in the U.S. stock market will be the result of renewed calm from expectations that the global economy may begin a recovery process as the US/China trade issues and other geopolitical issues seem to become more resolved. We believe the recent upside move in the US stock markets were a flight to safety for many foreign investors fearing that US/China trade issues would result in very harsh outcomes near March 1st. If the trade issues appear to be close to a resolution, this flight to safety trade may wane a bit over the next 10 – 20+ days as emerging markets may see a dramatic upside bounce in valuations.

How does this relate to Gold and Silver? It is very likely that the upside pricing pressure in precious metals will stall a bit as the global equities markets take center stage. If our analysis is correct, the developed markets will contract while the emerging markets take focus. This falls right into line with our analysis that the US stock markets will pause/rotate over the next 10~20+ days in preparation for a larger upside price swing.

Our custom Gold/Silver Index is showing that precious metals are trading in a sideways Pennant/Flag formation near levels that have historically been resistance. We still believe the upside in the precious metals market over the long term is substantial, yet we believe the news of a US/China trade resolution and the resulting rally in the emerging markets will remove much of the upside pricing pressure in the precious metals markets for about 15+ days before momentum support is found.

Our researchers believe the timing of this move is right for a short term swing trade. Be prepared for rotation in nearly all the global markets and be prepared for emerging markets to see an upside price rally as a result of positive news from the U.S. and China over the next 2+ weeks.

Are you ready for these moves? Do you value the research we share with you and the insight we provide? Please take a minute to visit The Technical Traders to learn how we can help you find and execute better trades. Support our work – become a member. We dedicate our efforts to providing you with more detailed and intuitive market research available anywhere else. Isn’t it time you invested in a team that can really help you make 2019 a great success?

Chris Vermeulen
The Technical Traders

Our research has indicated that precious metals should be setting up for a period of rotation and sideways trading over the next 20-30 days. We issued a research post on January 28, 2019 warning that precious metals would be consolidated over a 30-45 …

We are writing this post today with a few forward-looking expectations while attempting to warn traders that some extended rotation is likely to enter the markets over the next 30+ days. If you’ve been following our research, you’ll know that we’ve been calling these move months in advance of other researchers and analysts. Our September 17, 2018 research post highlighting our Adaptive Dynamic Learning predictive modeling system suggested the U.S. stock markets were poised for a massive price rotation followed by a very unique price setup that we are experiencing now.

Currently, the YM (Dow Futures Contracts) are leading the pack on a dramatic upside breakout move. This is likely a result of the US government spending bill that is recently working its way towards approval and the fact that this new spending bill clears the way for at least 8+ months of uninterrupted market optimism (or at least we hope). This 300+ point upside move clearly breaks price highs and puts the U.S. stock market, at least the Dow/Blue-Chips, back into “new high trending mode”. As many of you are likely aware, our Fibonacci price study teaches us that price must ALWAYS seek to establish new price highs or new price lows AT ALL TIMES. Thus, these new price highs are a very strong indication that the upside trend is dominant and should continue for a while.

Additionally, we want to highlight what we believe will be a similar price pattern to 2015/2016 in the U.S. markets – a multiple Price Wedge formation that could ultimately set up another price leg (which we believe will be higher, to the upside, at this time).

In the next article “PART II” pay close attention to the charts and images as we are attempting to clearly illustrate how and why price rotation is about to hit the US markets and why you need to be prepared for this move.

We continue to read that large amounts of capital are sitting on the sidelines or have been pulled from the markets over the past 12+ months. We understand this as the rotation in early 2018 frightened many investors and the continued sideways price action, global market concerns and geopolitical issues have caused international investors to want to protect their investments from risk – thus they move their capital into cash. We get it. But we also believe the next breakout in the U.S. markets will be a great opportunity for skilled traders to identify and prepare for an incredible profit potential no matter which way the market breaks up or down because technical analysis allows us to closely follow the direction of the market.

The amount of capital that is sitting on OUTSIDE the markets, currently, represents a massive amount of resources that could re-enter the markets when traders/investors decide the timing is right. We’ve termed this a “Capital Shift”.

In simple terms, it reflects capital/cash moving from one market to another or from actively invested to cash, then back to actively invested. Our belief is that capital operates in a manner to always protect itself from risk while attempting to identify suitable returns. The best environment for capital is always a relatively safe investment with protective values and a high probability of decent returns. Therefore, this massive amount of capital not being deployed in the global markets will, at some time, re-enter the markets and will likely increase pricing valuations.

How and when will this capital re-enter the markets? What will price activity look like and how will we know when the timing is right for our own strategic deployment of our trading capital? Continue reading to learn why we believe we are only 30~45 days away from an incredible trading setup. You won’t want to miss this one.

Please take a minute to visit The Technical Traders to learn how we can help you find and execute better trade in 2019 and stay ahead of these market moves. We are confident that you will find our Daily Video, Detailed Market Research, Proprietary Research Tools and Detailed Trading Signals will help you make 2019 an incredibly successful year.

Chris Vermeulen
Technical Traders Ltd.

On January 28, 2019, our research team issued a research post indicating we believed that Precious Metals would rotate lower over the next 45+ days in preparation for a momentum base/breakout that would initiate sometime near the end of April or early …

We are not always correct in our calls about the market. Professional researchers and analysts must understand that attempting to accurately predict the future outcome of any commodity, stock, index or ETF is impossible to be 100% accurate. Yet, we are pleased that our proprietary price modeling and analysis tools continue to provide us with very clear triggers and alert us to price moves before they happen.

Today, we are sharing two recent trades we executed with our members that resulted in some decent profits. The first example is our GDXJ trade. We had been in a Long position since before the beginning of 2019 expecting Gold and Miners to rally. Our price modeling systems suggested that after price reached $1300, we may experience a brief price pause over the next 45 days or so. Thus, we pulled the profits in this trade recently to lock in 10.5% profit and to allow us to re-enter when our modeling systems suggest the price pullback has ended.

The second example is our ROKU trade. We recently pulled 8.1% profit on a partial profit target execution for our members after a nice upside momentum move. This type of trade falls into our MRM (Momentum Reversal Method) trade trigger category and is supported by a momentum resurgence price move that can typically prompt prices to move +8~30% over fairly quick periods of time (under 20 days).

For almost all traders, we’ve found that understanding general market conditions, finding suitable trading triggers/setups and staying aware of the market dynamics at play in the global markets is very hard to accomplish. This is why we offer our members a very quick and easy way for them to accomplish all of these essential components for success with their membership to Technical Traders Ltd. Wealth Trading Newsletter.

•  Our Daily Market Video, which is typically under 10 minutes in length, covers all of the major markets, most commodities, the US Dollar, Bitcoin and many other elements of the markets.

• Combine this video content with our detailed market research posts, which you can read by visiting The Technical Traders Free Research, allows our members to not only learn from our video content but also to begin to understand and formulate their own conclusions based on our content.

• Lastly, we add our trading trigger/alerts feature to alert our members to superior trading setups that we find while running our proprietary trading models. We don’t post 40 trades a day hoping our members will find one or two they can make profits from. We are highly selective in our posts and attempt to only post the best opportunities for success.

Over the past couple of months, we have been developing a new members area application. It will allow you to have live access to our morning spike and gap trades and traders chatroom, our SP500 index momentum, and swing trades, plus our special MRM (Momentum Reversal Method) stock picks on small/mid-cap stocks which also all trade options so if you want to you can trade options on your own around our stock trades.

Last week we made huge progress and this week’s goals are to implement the instant and automated SMS and email alerts sent to you every time there is a new trade, stop, target hit, or we close a position. This will give you more time to see and execute the trades as needed. Keep in mind most swing trades can be entered 1-3 days after the trade alert at the same price or better price simply because we are not that perfect at timing the markets every move.

If you take a minute to review these example REAL TRADES (above) and review the information at The Technical Traders, we believe you will understand the value and resources we offer our members. Isn’t it time you found the right team of professionals to help you make 2019 an incredibly successful year?

Chris Vermeulen

We are not always correct in our calls about the market. Professional researchers and analysts must understand that attempting to accurately predict the future outcome of any commodity, stock, index or ETF is impossible to be 100% accurate. Yet, we are pleased that our proprietary price modeling and analysis tools continue to provide us with very clear triggers and alert us to price moves before they happen.

Today, we are sharing two recent trades we executed with our members that resulted in some decent profits. The first example is our GDXJ trade. We had been in a Long position since before the beginning of 2019 expecting Gold and Miners to rally. Our price modeling systems suggested that after price reached $1300, we may experience a brief price pause over the next 45 days or so. Thus, we pulled the profits in this trade recently to lock in 10.5% profit and to allow us to re-enter when our modeling systems suggest the price pullback has ended.

The second example is our ROKU trade. We recently pulled 8.1% profit on a partial profit target execution for our members after a nice upside momentum move. This type of trade falls into our MRM (Momentum Reversal Method) trade trigger category and is supported by a momentum resurgence price move that can typically prompt prices to move +8~30% over fairly quick periods of time (under 20 days).

For almost all traders, we’ve found that understanding general market conditions, finding suitable trading triggers/setups and staying aware of the market dynamics at play in the global markets is very hard to accomplish. This is why we offer our members a very quick and easy way for them to accomplish all of these essential components for success with their membership to Technical Traders Ltd. Wealth Trading Newsletter.

•  Our Daily Market Video, which is typically under 10 minutes in length, covers all of the major markets, most commodities, the US Dollar, Bitcoin and many other elements of the markets.

• Combine this video content with our detailed market research posts, which you can read by visiting The Technical Traders Free Research, allows our members to not only learn from our video content but also to begin to understand and formulate their own conclusions based on our content.

• Lastly, we add our trading trigger/alerts feature to alert our members to superior trading setups that we find while running our proprietary trading models. We don’t post 40 trades a day hoping our members will find one or two they can make profits from. We are highly selective in our posts and attempt to only post the best opportunities for success.

Over the past couple of months, we have been developing a new members area application. It will allow you to have live access to our morning spike and gap trades and traders chatroom, our SP500 index momentum, and swing trades, plus our special MRM (Momentum Reversal Method) stock picks on small/mid-cap stocks which also all trade options so if you want to you can trade options on your own around our stock trades.

Last week we made huge progress and this week’s goals are to implement the instant and automated SMS and email alerts sent to you every time there is a new trade, stop, target hit, or we close a position. This will give you more time to see and execute the trades as needed. Keep in mind most swing trades can be entered 1-3 days after the trade alert at the same price or better price simply because we are not that perfect at timing the markets every move.

If you take a minute to review these example REAL TRADES (above) and review the information at The Technical Traders, we believe you will understand the value and resources we offer our members. Isn’t it time you found the right team of professionals to help you make 2019 an incredibly successful year?

Chris Vermeulen

Recent global news regarding Venezuela, China, and global oil supply/production have resulted in the price of crude oil pausing over the past few weeks near $53 to $55 ppb. We believe the continued supply glut and uncertainty will result in oil prices…

For those that still believe the U.S. markets are weak and poised for a total collapse, we want to bring something to your attention. Throughout weeks of uncertainty about China trade deals, the US government shutdown, continued Brexit issues and who k…

Our Adaptive Fibonacci modeling system is suggesting Crude Oil may have already reached very strong resistance levels just above $50 ppb. It is our opinion that a failed rally above $55 ppb will result in another downward price move where prices could …

Our proprietary Fibonacci predictive modeling system is suggesting Natural Gas is about to break down below the $4.30 level and move aggressively toward the $3.05 – 3.25 level. This could be an incredible move for energy traders and a complete bust fo…

This has been the best week in a long time for intraday trades. The last 4 days the SP500 gave us 8 trades and all 8 turned into winners. Each days turning generating between $300 a $1250 per ES mini contract, although these can be traded using the SPY…

IMPORTANT NOTE: Pre-market trades like these are posted in our morning update and video only. We don’t want to blanket all our longer term traders with day trades. So if you are an active trader be sure you read our morning update and watch the video w…

If you are a long term investor, swing trader, or day trader, then you could find one or all of the charts below interesting. What I am going to briefly cover and show you could make you think twice about how you are investing and trading your money. I will be the first to admit you should not, and cannot, always pick market tops or bottoms, but there are certain times when it’s worth betting on one.

Below I have shared three charts, each with a different time frame using daily, 30 minutes, and a 10-minute chart. Each chart also has a different technical analysis technique and strategy applied. Each shorter time frame chart as we work down the page zooms in closer to more imminent price action that should take place over the next few days.

The daily chart below shows a clear overall trend which is to the downside. Trends are more likely to continue than they are to reverse, hence the saying “The Trend Is Your Friend.”

A key piece of data on this chart is the blue investing cycle line at the bottom. If this is trending down or below the 50 level, then money should be focused on profiting from falling prices via inverse ETF’s, short selling, or put options.

Equally important are the yellow and baby blue cycle lines at the bottom. When these enter the upper reversal zone, we should expect sellers to step into the market and for the price to fall.

I apologize for the noisy chart below, a lot is going on there, but if you focus on the yellow text and drawings, it will help keep things simple. This chart shows several reasons why we expect the price to fall. Based on technical and statistical analysis this chart points weakness over the next 1 – 3 trading days.

Monday night (Jan 7th) after the closing bell the SPY ETF chart generated a sizable price spike to the downside. Those of you who follow our spikes and or at least know about these setups then you know we expect the price to reach at least one if not all spike targets which are 30%, 50%, and 100% of the spike within 36 hours.

So far in 2019 we have has six price spikes five winners, one loser which is an 83% win rate thus far. Today’s spike is abnormally large not sure what that means regarding this one being a success but it is another spike signal, and the odds favor a move down once you see the other analysis supporting this setup.

If you are boring long term investor and have been stuck having to ride the stock market roller coaster with your life savings my trading newsletter can help you with your long term portfolio to not only avoid losses but profit from the collapse with one simple inverse exchange traded fund which trades like a stock and you buy and sell it at anytime! Knowing when you put your nest egg to work, and when to back away and protect it is crucial if you want to become wealthy or become wealthy.

On the flip side, if you are an active trader looking for monthly trades then be sure to join the Wealth Building Newsletter today and receive my daily pre-market video analysis, so you understand what took place yesterday, during overnight trading, and what to expect when the market opens.

Subscribe today and become part of our trading community and prosper from the coming market correction and real estate downturn.

Sign Up for Chris Vermeulen’s Wealth Building Newsletter Here > The Technical Traders

Early trading on January 4, 2019 saw Gold trade just above $1300 per ounce. Confirming our price target from our research and posts on November 24, 2018. The importance of this move cannot be underestimated. Traders and investors need to understand th…

Our trading partner Chris Vermeulen and his research team at the Technical Traders have been nailing the market moves with their proprietary price modeling tools. Our December 12, 2018 call that Natural Gas would collapse nearly 30% after reaching a p…

As we put an end to 2018 we watched the incredible price rotation in the U.S. stock market. Now it is time for traders to take stock of the incredible opportunities that are set up for early 2019 and beyond. Our research team, at The Technical Traders, has put together some truly incredible longer term Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive price modeling system charts that will help you understand and identify incredible opportunities that should play out in early 2019. We know you will not find this type of analysis anywhere else on the planet and we know just how valuable these charts are too skilled traders. So, get ready for some incredible moves – as impossible as they may seem.

Let’s get started with crude oil. This Monthly chart of Crude showing our ADL price modeling system is clearly indicating the first few months of 2019 will include increased price volatility. One thing to pay attention to as we review these charts are the BLUE TRIANGLES, which is where we asked the ADL predictive modeling system for a detailed analysis, and the CYAN, YELLOW, and WHITE DASHED LINES, which is where the ADL system is showing us the highest probability price outcome into the future. On this chart, we can see that the predicted price levels of the past have been relatively close to where the price has closed on each monthly price bar.

Going into the future, we can see 3 to 4 months of price volatility between $50 and $65 (roughly) with rotating higher/lower price objectives. We interpret this as greatly increased price volatility with the potential of supply events disrupting global expectations in oil. These could be intermediate term price rotations that keep the price within our $50-65 price range, or they could be large range, very dramatic price rotations as a result of massive global supply events.

What we can suggest to you, today, is that early 2019 should provide some very interesting short to intermediate term price triggers in oil before price settles back below $50 near June or July 2019.

Next, the Financials/Banks appear to be setting up a very deep “price anomaly” pattern that could become one of the biggest price reversals of early 2019. It is not very often that a 90%+ price move sets up in the markets and this could be just such an event. The ADL predictive price modeling system identifies the highest probability price outcomes by mapping and tracking price and technical setups. You can see from this chart we are asking the ADL modeling system to show us what to expect from the February 2018 price bar.

This price bar is critical because it was a wide range price rotation setup that should be very unique in the ADL DNA mapping. This bar only had 5 similar DNA markers and projected some of the predicted price level, the ones drawn in WHITE, as 50/50 outcomes. The last few outcomes, drawn in YELLOW, reported as 100% probabilities for these predicted target price levels. Therefore, we consider this a very high probability outcome of a very deep “price anomaly” setup that should result in some incredible upside opportunities for skilled traders.

Additionally, if this analysis is correct, the U.S. stock market may, very quickly, rally to attempt to establish new all time highs again in early 2019. This move could happen well before May or June 2019. Be prepared for this move because, currently, there are a bunch of shorts that are predicting a 1929 style market crash. Those shorts are going to get crushed in a massive short squeeze if our ADL predictive modeling results are accurate.

Next, we’ll review the SPY Monthly chart. And, as you can likely see, this chart is similar to the FAS chart above with a very deep price anomaly setup. In fact, you are going to see a few of these types of price anomaly trigger setups in this research post because the very deep downside price move, recently, has prompted these types of price triggers. One thing to consider about price rotation and the recent downside price move is that these types of price swings are very healthy for the overall markets. They act as a method of re-confirming value, support and future expectations by devaluing/deleveraging over extended price levels and shaking up the markets. We think of these types of moves as a “healthy price rotation” that allows the markets to re-establish value and future expectations vs. a type of crisis event.

In addition to this being a very healthy price rotation, we also believe, fundamentally, very little has changed in the past 4+ months in regards to global market events. Europe and China/Asia are still working through their own issues. Credit cycles and global market valuations have been decreasing since early 2018. Overall, the global markets have decreased in value by over 27% since January 2018.

What many traders have failed to understand is that the U.S. markets broke lower on a reaction to the U.S. Fed’s recent rate raises while the rest of the global markets had already experienced a 24% valuation decline. In other words, the U.S. markets broke lower in “capitulation” of expectations that the U.S. Fed may have pushed rates beyond expected boundaries. Now that the U.S. markets have revalued near these recent lows and 2019 is about to start, new expectations are settling into traders minds regarding the current market values and future expectations.

Back to our ADL chart of the SPY, you can see the predicted levels of the ADL system matching with price bars fairly accurately. The current bar, the big red one, is reported as a “neutral probability” (WHITE) target price level which means the ADL system could not determine any viable probability for this price target. The following YELLOW price targets range from 57% probability to 94% probability going out 8+ months. Our interpretation of this is that the current price bar, being a neutral price target near $279.60 reports as a “basis price” in the range of previous price rotation. We believe this level, $279.60, will quickly be recovered in early 2019 before a continued rally pushes prices above $300 sometime around April or May 2019.

Next, one of our favorite charts to gauge the markets and the future expectations of market sectors, the Transportation Index. And, again, you can see a similar price anomaly setup on this chart. The one thing that is very interesting on this chart is that the current price target level for the December 2018 bar has a relatively high ADL probability (68.373%) and the next targeted price level (Jan 2019, near 11,210) has a very high 88.25% probability.

It is our opinion that the Transportation Index will rocket higher in early 2019 and reach levels above 10,800 before the end of March 2019 (possibly much earlier). The ADL predictive modeling system is suggesting that the Transportation Index will stay near 11,500 for much of 2019 and we believe the U.S. stock market and major indexes will reach new all time highs near the start of Q2 2019 and continue to push a bit higher through the middle of 2019.

It is very likely that the U.S. market continues to outperform many other global markets throughout much of 2019 and beyond. We’ve read many expectations that the U.S. markets may fall into some level of “complacency” in 2019, but we are not seeing that in our research. We are seeing the US markets continue to report pricing strength in comparison to other global markets and we believe the US economy will continue to stay strong throughout at least the first 2 to 3 quarters of 2019 – possibly much longer.

Again, this incredible opportunity for skilled traders is showing a potential +23% upside rally that should start in early 2019. Be prepared for some great trades in 2019.

Lastly, the US Dollar. With so many people expecting the US markets to push lower in 2019 and the resulting pressures on the U.S. Dollar (as some analysts expect the Yuan to strengthen while the US Dollar weakens), our ADL predictive modeling systems is suggesting that the US Dollar is currently undervalued by nearly 8%. The early 2019 ADL price targets are near or above $27.50 with the current price being near $25.50. This represents a 7.8% to 8.3% upside price anomaly if our ADL predictive price targets are accurate. This ADL trigger bar, where the BLUE TRIANGLES are on this chart, was a fairly rare price/technical pattern, or DNA marker. It is predicting a 100% probability of these price levels being accurate based on this rare DNA marker. We interpret that outcome as a breakout above $26 in UUP would help to confirm this ADL analysis and the potential that $27.50 to $28.00 is a viable longer term price objective.

Overall, we don’t see any reason to be bearish the U.S. Dollar at the moment. Our ADL predictive modeling system is suggesting the U.S. Dollar is currently undervalued by about 8% and is predicting early 2019 upside potential which indicates the potential for greater global currency volatility in the Euro, the Yuan, and other widely held currencies. If out ADL predictive pricing levels are accurate, it would indicate that we are going to see global currency pricing pressures hit many global currencies fairly early in 2019. Possibly, this could be related to some geopolitical event or some type of isolated credit market event (Italy, Spain, EU, China, Asia). Again, we don’t know what the event will be, but we can assure you that our ADL predictive modeling system is suggesting the U.S. Dollar will increase in value by about 8% in early 2019.

These incredible setups and opportunities for skilled traders can only be found with our proprietary Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive modeling tool. Call it a New Year’s gift or whatever you want to call it. Within this research article, we’ve shown you what we believe are some of the most incredible trading setups to start 2019 and we’re confident in our model’s ability to accurately find and call these moves. Want to learn what other setups our predictive cycle, Fibonacci and ADL systems are showing us? Want to know what the metals are going to do in 2019? Want to know which sectors are going to move and when? Visit The Technical Traders to learn how we help our members find and execute better trades.

Visit The Technical Traders Free Research to review some of our earlier research posts and to see how we’ve been calling these moves accurately for months.

Want to make 2019 a great year with incredible opportunities for success? Join our other members at The Technical Traders today and make 2019 an incredibly successful year.

Chris Vermeulen