IronFX Daily Commentary by Charalambos Pissouros | 31/01/2017
January 31, 2017 9:34 amVideo
Latest News
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BoJ keeps policy unchanged, raises GDP forecasts
• BoJ remained on hold via a 7-2 vote. Raised its GDP growth forecasts for the next 3 years.
• Knee-jerk reaction in JPY was positive, but quickly gave back all its gains to trade unchanged.
• We exp. the Bank to stay on hold for a while. As for JPY, its path will depend on its counterparts.
• Signs of rising inflation elsewhere in the world could keep JPY on the back foot (base-case scen.)
• Key risk to this would be a global risk-off event, causing yen to strengthen due to safe-haven flows.
Trump introduces two-for-one executive order on regulations
• Latest exec. order states that for every new gov. regulation, two other regulations must be dropped.
• Clearly following through with pre-election pledges. May fuel speculation that he will follow through with fiscal promises too.
• Focus for USD traders turns to FOMC tomorrow, NFP on Friday, prel. budget proposal on Monday.
Today’s highlights:
• Eurozone: Prel. CPI for Jan. Headline rate is exp. to rise, core rate is exp. to remain unchanged. A surge in the headline rate could support EUR a bit, though the focus will probably be on the core rate. Also, GDP for Q4 and unemployment rate for Dec.
• Canada: GDP for Nov. is exp. to have risen, a rebound from prev. CAD-positive.
• Speakers: ECB Pres. Mario Draghi and Gov. Council member Francois Villeroy de Galhau. Also, UK Parliament will begin two-day debate on Brexit bill. Any new comments could impact GBP.
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