New Zealand’s CPI accelerates and lifts the Kiwi
• New Zealand’s CPI accelerated sharply in Q4 to +1.3% yoy from +0.4% yoy prev.
• Very encouraging, shows the strength of NZ’s economy and that the 3 rates cuts by the RBNZ in 2016 may have worked.
• NZD surged. We exp. RBNZ to remain sidelined in coming months and maintain a neutral bias.
• Given the strong economy overall and a neutral RBNZ, NZD could remain supported for a while.

Dow Jones breaks above 20000, hits a new all-time high
• US Dow Jones industrial average finally broke above the psychological zone of 20000.
• No major fundamental news behind the move. Overall market sentiment is risk-on lately.
• Latest Trump orders (building oil pipelines, Mexican wall), may have supported the break a bit.

Today’s highlights:
• Germany: Gfk consumer sentiment index for Feb. Usually not a major market mover.
• Sweden: PPI and unemployment rate, both for Dec.
• UK: Gov. to introduce Article 50 legislation to Parliament (but unlikely to be a major market mover). Also, 1st estimate of Q4 GDP is exp. to slow down a bit, which may hurt GBP on the news.
• US: New home sales for Dec. and initial jobless claims for the week ended Jan. 20th.
• Speakers: UK Brexit Secretary David Davis speaks to Parliament.

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